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Technology Stocks : QUANTUM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bleeker who wrote (7549)3/18/1998 4:13:00 PM
From: Bleeker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9124
 
Here is a story that raises questions about my bullish assumptions:
it was released today on thestreet.com. By the way, I found out that
earnings for FY Q4 will be released in mid-April.

Herb on TheStreet

By Herb Greenberg
Senior Columnist

Jabil Circuit (JBIL:Nasdaq) late yesterday warned that it would
barely hit analysts' estimates for its fiscal second quarter. It
also warned that the next two quarters are likely to be weaker than
analysts expected.

Our Jabil short-seller was particularly impressed with the company's
comment that its computer peripherals business was down 18% last
quarter. Jabil didn't give names, but one of its biggest peripheral
customers is Quantum (QNTM:Nasdaq).

Jabil makes its digital linear tape drive, which is a fast-growing,
fat-margin product that currently represents about 25% of Quantum's
revenues.

If Jabil says its peripherals biz was down 18%, could Quantum be a tech
wreck in waiting? There's been plenty of speculation that it will
be. Furthermore, according to this Jabil short, who takes copious
notes: At a recent Goldman Sachs analyst meeting, one top Quantum exec
said the company's DLT biz would be up 5% to 10%. Then, at a Robertson
Stephens conference two weeks later, the same exec said they would be
plus-or-minus 5%.

For its part, Quantum says there was no inconsistency.


P.S. I have edited out a lot of the Jabil portions of the column and
left the Quantum part intact. I also took out parts about other
stocks, etc. I still think Quantum's digitial disk drive business may do
surprisingly well based on the exexutive's comments at the Goldman
Sach's conference. We'll find out in a few weeks.

Bleeker