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Strategies & Market Trends : Candlestick Charting--The unknown indicator -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: CandleMan who wrote (1177)3/25/1998 5:43:00 PM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1589
 
RE:" Candlsticks and intra-day patterns... "

>Message 1162 asked a question regarding intra-day candle patterns.
>I haven't seen a reply to that and I too am wondering how viable they
>are and what a good timing would be (1 min,10 min, hourly??)
>It would seem to me that hourly would be the only csticks that
> could possibly make sense. Any thoughts ??


...a few months ago, Esteban and I got pretty deep into all that -

quote.com

- this is the site of choice for real-time indices (we're trading SPY and OEX "oyster" options) and delayed, intra-day candlesticks. You can play with the time slice, for example - enter OEX,3 for a three minute candlestick of the OEX "S&P-100" index real-time.

- all the patterns are valid. You will learn a heluva lot about how the candlesticks work by watching intra-day 'sticks as they are being formed, and what happens next. Watch the ,3 minute 'sticks on a fast moving index like the INDU or the OEX, for example. Turn off the volume display; turn it on only when you need it (bandwidth). You can do 'sticks of OPTIONS and COMMODITIES, too! Try CL98J,91 for 91-minute candlesticks of OIL FUTURES.

- the best time slice for day-trading is probably the 90-min. Esteban used SPY,90 to great effect. We got to where we were using this notation in our postings/EMAILs to one another; for example, INTC,W is a weekly chart, and INDU,13 is a 13-minute of the DJIA-30 index.

- there are 390 minutes per session. I like to use multiples of 13-min chunks of time ( ,13 ,26 ,39 ,52 ,65 ,78 ,91 ... ) Note that ,195 gives Session I and Session II of a trading day, which is interesting.

- the "optimum" time-slice isn't linear; ie., you might use ,39 for the Morning or Evening Attacks, and other time slices for the typical patterns within the day. Lunchtime in New York is usually dull; around 13.30 to 14.30, something (usually a buy or sell program) happens, and so forth. I varied time slices a lot, "tuning in" the 'sticks like a radio. Esteban preferred to stay with the ,90s.

- We both used TrendLines and Horizontal Support Levels on our charts. I use 200-day ema (exponential moving averages) and 50-day ma (simple moving averages). I also use Fibonacci Retracements on my charts - they are excellent locators of support/resistance levels, especially when there is no precedent (like a new high or low). The package most candle-freaques use is METASTOCK. It also has the Kagi, the Renko and the Three-Line Break Charts that they (Japanese traders) use.

- regarding "scans" for candlesticks - the most reliable patterns are usually two or three 'stick sequences that take trend / support / volume into account. But we had great success just by scanning for Dojis (^_^) Set your scan for absolute Dojis first, then near-Dojis with +/- 1/16th or even 1/8th difference between OPEN and CLOSE. The Doji is probably the most meaningful, single-character candlestick.

- The best introductory text is probably Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques by Steve Nison. After that, I would recommend Candlepower or the newer version of it - Candlestick Charting Explained: Timeless Techniques for Trading Stocks and Futures by Gregory L. Morris. Compleat Candlestick Freaques will want to get a copy of Nison's latest, Beyond Candlesticks to round out the reference section.

- Candlesticks show sentiment but not extent. Esteban said that they were perfect for index-trading because they were like, "...mass psychology in pictures". During our thread here, a ways back, we kept a running candlestick interpretation going of the major market indices, as well as the sector indices (OSX.X was a favourite). Though he is as confounded as everyone else as to the amazing extent of this bull-rally, you freaques might enjoy Tom Rogers' daily interpretation of the OEX-100 index candlesticks...

csta.org

-Steve (^_^) <---- Japanese "smiley" emoticon