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Technology Stocks : DELL Bear Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RXGOLF who wrote (257)3/20/1998 5:59:00 PM
From: jjs_ynot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2578
 
>>> Dell is completely out of my area, but partly due to this thread, Dell became my first short today

I'm sure that you are; however, I will just reinforce that you should
do your own due diligence on any investment decision, esp. a stock as
volatile as this one.

>>> Would you mind running a little further with this thought.

DELL has come down a good ways off its recent highs pre-split almost
20 percent. The extreme overvaluation is behind us. There are technical indicators of a continued downward trend but also that we
may be reaching a turning point for the intermediate trend (1 to 2
weeks as I said) This stock got trapped in a trading channel between
62.5 and 65 for the past week and a half because of the pressure of
expiring options IMHO. Thus, which underlying trend will become dominant should become clearer as we see the action on Monday.
Fundamentally both good and bad things are happening. The INTC price
cut is on balance quite a good thing for DELL. The effect of the
$500. million debt offering is unclear, but appears on balance not a
great positive for the stock. Valuation level as I have said is more reasonable. NOONE has a very good crystal ball in predicting short to
intermediate price trends (esp. me) except that one can observe a trend as it establishes itself and try to determine if the trend will stay established for a while and for a profit.