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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jenna who wrote (6297)3/20/1998 11:06:00 PM
From: Jenna  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 120523
 
INTERPRETATION: Chaikin Money Flow, Moving average 10 day, Volume 1/30 day average volume ratio...

SDP - SUNSOURCE INC COM .MIU
VL/30= 2674.5 ( 99) 1-Dy = 103.2 ( 89) ChMF = 87.9 ( 99)
10MA = 106.4 ( 94)

DAYTRADING A STOCK THAT HAS BROKEN OUT OF 10 DAY MOVING AVERAGE WITH HIGH VOLUME:

Looking for the best daytrade you want a combination of the best stock you can find and you need at least 3 important ingredients before you can have 'perfection'. You can't leave any of them out or your stock will be flawed.

1)Chaikin Money Flow is simply the measure of money 'flowing' into a stock or out of a stock. I don't think I need to get into the calculations of how to compute the Money Flow but I will say that very high values show that money is moving INTO a stock and low values indicate money is moving OUT of a stock. In our example of SDP, the ChMF is 89.7 very high (99 means only 1% of stocks in the entire 9,000 database has a higher value for chaikin Money flow) This indicator is usually used with a volume indicator for a better picture.

2. relative performance simply how much the stock was up the day you ran the scan anything over 100 is a positive gain.
103.2% means the stock is up 3.2% today. (that is pretty good ranking the performance of SDP as 89%)

3)vol 1/30 day average volume ratio: I use 24 criteria (some others I like is institutional buying - high, insider buying high, etc..) but I will just say that the 1/30 volume ratio is simply a very important one. I like to choose a stock that is 150% more than the 30 day average volume </b) So now you have a combination of money flowing into a stock (Chaikin Money Flow) + volume extremely high (150% more than 30 day average) you have a better picture of demand for this stock in the marketplace. You don't want money flowing into a stock and dead volume. You don't want a divergence like that. That would mean interest in the stock is starting to wane. You want HIGH VOLUME indicating interest is moving INTO the stock at a high rate.

In our example SDP, the volume is 2674.5% higher than 30 day average volume that is so high that it is understandable SDP's volume is in the 99th percentile of all stocks VL/30= 2674.5 ( 99)

Now you want to add something more: I add the 10 day moving average ratio.

4) 10 Day Moving Average
We have our ingredients now we add a 10 day moving average ratio (the current stock price times 100 divided by it s moving average for the past 10 days). It is quite simple it means that if the moving average is 90, the the stock is only 90% of it's moving average. (10% less than the 10 day moving average)Any ratio OVER 100 means it is that ABOVE the 10 day moving average. 110 means the stock price is now 10% above it's 10 day moving average. Look it like extra credit.. If you son comes home with 110 grade on his test it means had a perfect paper and got the extra 10% for extra credit. If a stock's moving average is over 110% the stock is a favorite, doing 10% better than it has done for the past 10 days and that is a BULLISH sign.

In our example SDP, the 10MA = 106.4 ( 94) meaning it is 6.4% above the 10 day moving average ranking it in 94th percentile for 10 day moving average. Another good sign.

You can easily use 20 day moving average to give you extra room for the stock to move in.. it's your own choice.. As a daytrader I want a stock that is exploding... to the upside preferably. If I were a short term investor I would like a stock that is actually LOWER than it's 10 day moving or 7 day moving average and just above it's 20 day moving average. ( I usually use moving average together with moving average breakout but I will not confuse you with too many indicators)

Here is our stock now:
1) has money flowing into it (that's good)

2) our stock has a very good volume that is 150% more than 30 day average volume.. This is good because it can be an indication that institutions are interested in the stock and it is receiving special attention from investors, institutions, etc.

3) Our stock is so strong that it's price today is x% higher than it's average price for the last 10 days (signifying possible breakout)
(You can use RSI in place of moving average or any other indicator)

4) We are now in a strong uptrend with our stock so 1 of 2 things can happen:

a) The stock rises a lot and breaks through resistance
b) The stock CAN run out of steam and show an OVERBOUGHT situation
that is why we WATCH it closely.. If it breaks resistance we can expect 1-2 point intraday gain. If it is overbought you can usually tell by 9:30/9:45 or so if you watch time & sales carefully.

The numbers in parentheses are good because at a glance you can see where the stock is compared to the universe of stocks. If it's over 85, it's very good. If its over 90 it's excellent and so forth.

Of course, you might be interested in a stock that is showing a POSSIBLE CHANGE OF TREND from OVERSOLD, but that is another set of indicators.. I'll save that for next time.

jenna
www.marketgems.com