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Technology Stocks : RealNetworks (NASDAQ:RNWK) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Joseph Colombo who wrote (328)	3/22/1998 2:22:00 AM
From: Obewon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 5843

Haven't followed the company but I use the product and my attention was grabbed by the CFO's speech to the Northwest Venture Group on Friday here in Seattle. Nothing earthshaking on a going forward basis but he described in detail the process that the company went through to do its IPO. What specifically picqued my interest was a statistic he flashed that the company's RealPlayer has an 80% market share currently. Does anyone know how specificially how their business model works? BTW: The CFO claimed that they didn't go public for the money and that they are current flush. He mentioned $92M in Cash and equivalents and said it would be sufficient for the needs for "years into the future." OB

To: Joseph Colombo who wrote (328)	3/25/1998 3:27:00 AM
From: Brian E	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 5843

Wow! What a great day! Only wish that volume was a little bit higher, but you can't have it all. We seem to be capitalizing on the "internet craze", as many net stocks moved nicely today. <<The only reason that I got out was because I believe a correction is likely in the next 6 weeks or so. I'm not a doomsayer. I am an optimist . I just think the tech's (and now the Internet's)will take a rest this time of year like they always do. And these type companies are just air. Someday they will be something, but right now we are buying the future.>> I agree that internet stocks, as a group, are being traded at a ridiculous level right now. Anybody who IPO's with a "Networks", or "Communications", or "Solutions" in their name seems to take off in the months following their offering. However, I feel that investors will begin to take a more selective look at internet stocks, not sell them off completely. The dogs will soon be sold off and the winners will continue to prosper. But I don't feel that all net stocks will "correct" themselves in the next few months, as you suggest (barring a market crash). Don't get me wrong; there are several internet stocks that are way overbought and are great shorts right now. Back to the subject, I feel that RNWK is still in a great position, even if my scenario takes place, as they dominate the streaming media market and will grow as the internet becomes an even more integral part of daily life. Granted, RNWK is difficult to analyze on the basis of fundamentals. With profits not expected for a year or so, traditional measures aren't applicable here and we must rely on projecting and discounting future revenue streams. However, I am betting (as is everyone else who is long RNWK) that RNWK will succeed in the future. <<5 years from now, RNWK will be worth 10 times what it is now, and will have split 3 times. I think we know that.>> I sure hope so. When I first bought in back at 14 3/4, I was looking for 25 sometime in the next few months. However, as I gain more and more faith in RNWK, I may now be in for the long haul. Brian