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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Peter O. who wrote (2472)3/22/1998 12:25:00 PM
From: John Curtis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
 
Well, I haven't read the entire article....yet(now I'm gonna have to run out in the snow and get it, thank you very much! heh), but clearly there's a window of time open to VLNC, during which they can get product out the door more massively than the competition. This window is between now and 2nd half of '99, if my read on the competition and where they stand in relation to VLNC, is accurate. If VLNC fail's to execute within the window they may still succeed, but not to the degree everyone hopes, because by then the big-boy's should have caught up and begun to bring their significant market power to bear on weee little VLNC. Kind'a like a supertanker going up against a catamaran in a narrow waterway, somebody's gonna get crushed, moved out of the way or brought on board, and it certainly won't be the tanker, heh. However, if they hit their window they can build up critical market "mass" and survive into the next round, perhaps to be bought out, etc., who knows, eh? But also most probably at a price higher than should they stumble trying to get thru said window.

That's the gamble of speculating on them today. LD's purchase/gamble has significance to me 'cause it indicates he's confident VLNC is going to make that next round. If they do I see an easy triple from current valuations. If they miss...back to the low $4's, possible the high $3's. Meanwhile, isn't it curious how all these alternative energy companies are beginning to register on the "radar screens" of the investment community? Longer lived battery's by the likes of VLNC, ULBI, ENER(also heavily into solar cells), as well as alternative energy GENERATION and TRANSPORT like BLDPF, MXWL and AMSC, certainly point to a VERY interesting 21st Century. And to think we're all gonna live to see it!

Regards!

John~