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To: Jyoti sharma who wrote (15105)3/22/1998 8:26:00 PM
From: Stitch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Jyoti,
re: Price estimates for Sime Darby, Resorts World, and Genting

I am expecting SIDBY earnings to be flat for 1998, and the better part of 1999, and would expect it to trade in a range from 3.50 RM to 4.50 Rm during that time. I hope to pick it up at the low. I expect earnings to start growing again in FY 2000. I have seen an estimate of 36 sen but who knows what that means. In the meantime I wouldn't expect to see losses, but rather flat earnings (normalized after accounting for the bank losses). Its a long term, representative regional stock for a recovery play.

I have some research on Genting estimating earnings of 1Rm in 98 and 1.07Rm in 99. It is currently trading at a P/E of 14 at 12.90Rm on estimated 97 earnings of 90 sen (still not released). I could see a trading range of 16 - 18 given the beginning of a recovery scenario.

Resorts World has had visitor arrivals growing in double digits since the 2nd half of 97. Further they sit on a pile of cash, (1.4B Rm) that is growing significantly at today's higher interest rates. Current estimated pe is approximately 15 on earnings estimate for 97 of 55 sen. I would buy at 7.50. I expect the stock to trade in a 9.00 - 9.50 range in a year. EPS for 98 is .63 (sen).

Best,
Stitch