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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5363)3/22/1998 10:10:00 PM
From: Mandinga  Respond to of 18691
 
Market ---> Sanity?

Not any more my friend.

Mandinga
(under 1998 rules: Market ---> Insanity)



To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5363)3/22/1998 10:15:00 PM
From: Lazlo Pierce  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Pancho, the market is up ~ 12% in Q1, many funds up over 15% (my main fund Waddell & Reed Growth (WRGRX) up over 20%!), when predictions at the end of last year were for the entire year to be between 5 - 15%. So, many funds are way ahead of the game here already. Everyone has been waiting for a pullback, but are playing chicken, thinkin that they can get out ahead of the others. Well, when the Big Flinch occurs, we may see many bailing all at once. Tomorrow will be VERY interesting, one way or the other. If we end up rallying (i.e. buying the dip here), I will capitulate entirely.

Dave



To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5363)3/22/1998 11:04:00 PM
From: Gokhan Gezmisoglu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18691
 
Have you ever ...

i) shorted an insanely overvalued stock at $20?

ii) rode the bitch to $25 in 3 days?

iii) covered at $25, lost your mind and went long?

iv) sold it at $40 one month later?

v) watched it go all the way up to $85 in less than a year?

If you have, than you will understand oil, Monica, Asian crisis
will not bring this market down. Something "big" has to happen.
I do not see anything that big right now. Well maybe if Greenspan
says enough is enough and starts selling treasuries like there is
no tomorrow and jacks up that risk free interest rate to 10% +.
I started to think Greenspan is fully invested in the market too.

There is only pain on the dark side these days!

regards,
Gokhan