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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (9909)3/23/1998 6:40:00 PM
From: GS_Wall Street  Respond to of 213174
 
Apple tanked just after the creative computer news hit the wire, it then rebounded sharpely and trended higher for the rest of the day. Good action at the end when the market was selling off. Apple still appears to have strong support on dips.



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (9909)3/23/1998 7:48:00 PM
From: Sam Scrutchins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 213174
 
The money managers intentionally pushed the stock down to under $25 so all the calls expired would get less returns. In the afternoon, the stock naturally rebounded because most of March options have been cleaned up ...

Phil,

This is an interesting scenario you posit here. The following is the Friday and today's 5 min chart with volume only. It seems to corroborate your position.

chart2.bigcharts.com

The stock opened lower and quickly sold off gaping down to 24 5/8. This seemed to be a panic selloff, probably by those who got stuck in the calls, had to exercise them, then beat a hasty retreat. Smart moves here by the exchange specialist who let the market sag without providing much support. Then some buying came in, over 300K in one five minute period, before another but less intense wave of selling took over. Afterwards, the stock essentially created a 1-day reversal after the initial selling climax. This seems very bullish to me and is similar to what happened 2/3 weeks ago when the stock bottomed with a quick selloff at approximately 21 3/4 (I had my opportunity to pick up the Mar 22 1/2's at 1 1/2, but was not at a computer at the time).

This bottom of about 25 also represented a pullback to a shortterm trend line that began forming at the beginning of February. It was violated a bit, but given the reversal and the down/up gap, the violation is likely irrelevant. The stock has been able to bounce off this trendline with great vigor and would benefit by heavy volume tomorrow.

I agree that the stock could test the recent high, but I don't know how far it will punch through without more rumors or surprise announcements. Investors are probably a little nervous about substantial speculation at this point. Of course, any significant rumor like Jobs as CEO (seems an increasingly likely proposition to me) could send the stock through the roof. Moreover, any downturn over the next 3 weeks is likely to be brief in anticipation of the earnings and the annual meeting. However, if one is in options, watch out in late April for a substantial intermediate correction, especially if the aforementioned trendline is broken. Stockholders probably have little to worry about and may enjoy great future growth if the news remains positive. Just my two cents.

Sam



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (9909)3/23/1998 8:27:00 PM
From: Eric Yang  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 213174
 
"Today's stock performance is beautiful and as anticipated. It went down in the morning due to the extension of the option's expiration."

March options expiration got extended?! I thought equity options expired last Sat with Fri being the last day of trading. I thought everything was set in stone.

Eric



To: Phillip C. Lee who wrote (9909)3/23/1998 9:00:00 PM
From: Linda Kaplan  Respond to of 213174
 
Phil,

You make a compelling case for the Q2 excellence.

I am ready for that stock price tomorrow! It sounds wonderful.

Linda