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Strategies & Market Trends : The 56 Point TA; Charts With an Attitude -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sergio H who wrote (13771)	3/24/1998 1:31:00 PM
From: David Alan Cook	Respond to of 79313

NVAL turnaround pick . . great chart, earnings and revenue momentum, institutional buying picking up. Last 3 turnaround picks: MTEL: Up over 100% HNV: Up over 100% TSSW: Top pick for 98. Reported its first profitable qtr in 8 qtrs last qtr. Expecting another good qtr and one or more positive press releases prior to first qtr earnings. Has yet to make any meaningful move. Still adding. NVAL: New Pick: ---------------- ( National Vision - Retail Specialty - Wal-Mart Stores ) Price Ratios: -------------- 1) Price to Sales: NVAL: .68 Industry: 1.51 Lower is Better TGT Using Industry Avg = ( 1.51 / .68 ) * $6.125 = $13.60 2) Price to Book: NVAL: 3.51 Industry: 4.88 Lower is Better TGT Using Industry Avg = ( 4.88 / 3.51 ) * $6.125 = $8.52 3) Price to Earnings: NVAL: 22.69 Industry: 33.13 Lower is Better Estimate: .36 TGT = .36 * 33.13 = $11.93 Revenue Growth: Earnings Momentum --------------- ------------------ 97: 186,354,000 vs .27 96: 160,376,000 vs .17 95: 145,573,000 vs loss of .07 Institutional Buying: ---------------------- Last Qtr: Buys: 213,000 shares Sales: 12,000 shares Net: + 201,000 shares Now at 6.5% Prior Qtr: Buys: 126,000 shares Sales: 13,000 shares Net: 114,000 shares Returns: --------- 1) ROE: NVAL: 16.78% Industry: 14.35 Higher is Better Up From year ago 12.23 2) ROA: NVAL: 7.05% Industry: 4.92% Higher is Better Up From year ago 4.43% 3) Profit Margin: NVAL: 2.99% Industry: 2.48 Up From year ago 2.17% Monthly Retail Sales Up for Jan and Feb - Up over 20% ** Chart looks very good. . .take a look at the 5 year weekly chart. Big volume increase on upticks. DC