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To: john smith who wrote (23232)3/24/1998 8:49:00 AM
From: Sasha  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
 
08:39 [CPQ,TAN] COMPAQ COMPUTER STARTS SHIPMENTS OF PRESARIO PCS TO RADIOSHACK.



To: john smith who wrote (23232)3/24/1998 10:26:00 AM
From: robbie  Respond to of 97611
 
John, if you play your cards right I think you can average up to 40.

Robbie



To: john smith who wrote (23232)3/24/1998 11:42:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 97611
 
John; To average down a short position is one of the most self
defeating styles of investing. It only works about 10% of the
time..90% walk into a trap. If your a bear on any stock not just
CPQ..and go short remember your not just in competition with
the bulls..in fact your first competition is now with other
shorts..If I'm long my first competition is with other longs,
I want to be long below the majority..if short I want to be
short at a better price than the majority of the other shorts,
other wise they can close by selling to me. Were do you think
the majority of the shorts shorted at ?
Looks to me it was above 30..and they are your first problem.
We are minnows in this sea of Whales, Sharks..and
Barracudas..be careful. There are funds that go from long
to short , or short to long in one swoop..they are never
on the sidelines..they use the box and swing positions
in one swoop thus cutting commission expence,
and they have been in her long enough
they don't have to average down ever.
In the long run you
got to play the game the way they do..you can be more nimble
at it than them and thus out do them.."but only after
first is getting a good position" were even if she moves
against you you have some profit locked in..at least not a loss..
conservation of capital is rule #1..lets say she gets up to 26..
at that point if I chose to short, I can
and never risk a penny of my original capital..
is your position that good ?
If I average down a long position time is in my favor
thats not so with a short position. If I look for position,
first, and profit second I'll live to fight another day,
if all you look at is profit..a Barracuda will sooner or
later have you for lunch.
Jim



To: john smith who wrote (23232)3/24/1998 11:51:00 AM
From: Satyr  Respond to of 97611
 
Jim has a very good point. If you are committed to your strategy make sure you have a point at which you admit you are wrong and exit your trade. Things can get out of hand very quickly if you get caught on the wrong side.