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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jeffbas who wrote (3613)3/24/1998 2:50:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78570
 
>>If it will not, then they will not go up now, and
only go down less in the next bear market.<<

I think in a real bear market everything gets hit as people want out of stocks altogether. Better to be in cash if you think one is coming. Value stocks will be sought only after the bear has taken everything down.

One needs to get the bigger picture (I'm not sure I have it, yet.). There are a number of places money can flow as it exits the stock market. People keep looking at the money flow and say, "What can bring this down -- there is just too much money flow into stocks." This is always the belief at this time.

However, capital flows are a very nonlinear phenomena. A very small change can affect the flows to a great extent and self-reinforcing moves in the opposite direction can happen, too.

Anybody out there tracking the breadth or know of a location that I can go to get a good handle on what is happening in the breadth?