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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Andon who wrote (10161)3/26/1998 10:57:00 AM
From: soup  Respond to of 213176
 
Fidelity's Impact.

A 500K share buy just went through.

(link added in following post)

My guess is that the Fidelity Funds, in their hydra-headed fashion have been big buyers of AAPL stock.

If an article I read about how Fidelity works is still accurate, an in-house analyst has likely become quite bullish about the stock, and a number of fund managers, with very different mandates/parameters for stock selection, are picking up on the story and have long standing orders in with in-house traders to accumulate substantial positions:

* Growth - rising earnings/expanding multiples from increased G3 sales, long term software sales outlook for Quicktime/Rhapsody.

* Value - Cash rich, low price/book, price/sales, tech patents, brand name, user base, etc.

* Index Funds

* Export/Global - AAPL has approx. 50% of revenues from overseas.

* Technology - Fidelity has 6 "Select" Funds with a tech focus that would almost have to be holding *some* AAPL at this point.

* Technical - Fidelity has some notable "quant" managers who are reading the same charts as people on this thread.

* Contrarian - Sentiment on AAPL prior to this quarter could not have been lower. Funds that market themselves as "thinking different" would love to show AAPL on their ledgers for this past quarter -- even if they only bought it in the last two weeks!!

* Asset Allocation - AAPL's "r2" (correlation to the market as a whole) is very low. For funds that market themselves for their "diversification value", this is very important.

* Giant Funds - Assuming the 63 billion dollar Magellan Fund decided to allocate even .25% of its assets to AAPL, that would be more than 6 million (5% of AAPL's) shares at $25.

Bottom Line: Fidelity is very performance driven and has a lot of mouths to feed.

I can't wait to see the March 31 O'Neill's (due mid-April) to see which institutional investors have been adding AAPL to their portfolio this past quarter.

If I'm right (and I almost always am) :), we should see a lot of fund managers talking up AAPL stock *after* the quarter, now that they acquired their positions.

soup



To: Andon who wrote (10161)3/26/1998 3:51:00 PM
From: Mfcheal  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 213176
 
Hey Andon,

So, this stock is a dog? Why don't you set up a shorts thread? There is 60m over, but about now there is also 15-20m short. Which, probably, in the nature of these things, is pretty much even. Take your pick. I think reading soup's posts might give you some idea which way to jump. I'd hate to think of you losing your shirt. Or are you just a small margin player? And if you are, why get so upset?

stay ahead,

M¡che l