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To: Secret_Agent_Man who wrote (770)3/26/1998 12:39:00 PM
From: mdv  Respond to of 7703
 
Nice article in Reuters about Telecom industry:

Thursday March 26 10:19 AM EST

Booming Internet To Jolt Telephone Companies

By Neil Winton, Science and Technology Correspondent

LONDON (Reuters) - The explosive growth of the Internet poses a life-or-death challenge to telephone companies, according to
a report published today.

The report, from Cambridge, England-based consultancy Analysys, said the Internet, the worldwide network of personal
computers connected by telephone lines, threatens a cull of phone companies which fail to meet the demands of the new
technology.

Telephone companies which embrace the Internet challenge will thrive.

According to Margaret Hopkins, principal consultant at Analysys and one of the report's authors, companies like Telecom Finland,
and WorldCom Inc are front-runners in this race.

Telephone companies only recently freed from state- ownership shackles are likely to be the hindmost.

The Internet is set to shake-up the business world because the electronic commerce it generates melts traditional boundaries.

Supermarkets can offer banking services, banks sell life insurance, and companies like software giant Microsoft Corp find
themselves involved with companies offering products as disparate as news, entertainment and shopping.

Analysys said that by the end of 1997, more than 60 million people around the world and nearly 20 million computers were linked
over the Internet. This is growing at about 50 percent a year.

"The Internet creates chaos because it opens the door to new ways of doing things. When the dust settles, lasting competitive
advantage will lie with the companies that have managed to find a new way of doing business," the report said.

"Telecommunications companies must fundamentally re-invent themselves if they are to exploit the huge commercial potential of the
Internet," Analysys said.

"Operators need to abandon old prejudices as well as learn new skills, and drag themselves out of the dark ages of the public
switched telephone network and into the Internet age," Hopkins told Reuters in a telephone interview.

Internet use threatens to transform traditional telephony as voice traffic is overwhelmed by data transmission.

Imaginative new companies are already using the Internet to sell long-distance calls for the price of a local call, undermining
traditional fat profit margins.

"By 2003, over 25 percent of international call minutes are forecast to be carried over the Internet, by which time the IP (Internet
provider) telephony market will be worth at least $7 billion. No doubt this explains why we are starting to see AT&T, Deutsche
Telekom, GTE and MCI entering the IP telephony market, " Hopkins said.

High-capacity cable networks are bringing increased voice, data and video competition. Technical developments threaten
competition from electric utilities which reckon they can transmit data over power lines and deliver services via the home electric
power plug.

Teledesic, the $9 billion "Internet-in-the-Sky" project of Microsoft and telecommunication pioneer Craig McCaw, plans to launch
a network of 288 low-earth-orbit satellites in 2002. Other groups like Motorola Inc's led Iridium have similar plans.

Which companies will best handle intensifying competition?

"Telecom Finland has already coped with this. There's real competition there. Worldcom and (recently acquired) MCI are in a
very advantageous position, basing their whole strategy on the view that the Internet will be an important element of the future
landscape of global telecoms."

Could satellite networks snatch a big market share?

"Yes that's exactly what they are aiming to do, provide competition to the local loop for low and medium speed digital access. The
big telcos need competition to force them to raise standards, and Teledesic may be the spur that drives them to it, " Hopkins said