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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5661)3/27/1998 7:44:00 PM
From: Market Tracker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Thank you for all your thoughtfully-worded and insightful posts. This brief clip from briefing.com pretty much sums up the daytraders work ethic in the late '90's.

"When asked by acquaintances what he does for a living, one reader says he responds, "I hit reload.""

Hope everyone's weather is as fine as ours (CT). Have a good weekend.

MT



To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5661)3/28/1998 11:13:00 PM
From: Tom Hua  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Actually, you cannot do the math this way. Your calculation assumes that the previous
month's consumer spending and personal income are fairly close


They are indeed. See the following for more info.

The Commerce Department said Americans' personal income
increased a strong 0.6% in February for the second consecutive month.
The gain, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $7.14 trillion,
outpaced the healthy 0.4% advance in consumer spending to $5.66
trillion.


If I remember correctly, about 40% of the nation tax receipts derive from personal income tax, or about $600 B. (Pancho, you're the expert here, please correct me if I'm way off base). This puts the savings rate at $880 B/year. Assume people put half of their savings in the market, that's a whopping $36 B/month. Add another $5 B/month from 401 k, you're looking at a net inflow of $2 B/day!!.

Regards,

Tom