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To: Edward Burgener who wrote (2521)3/29/1998 2:32:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Respond to of 164684
 
Compare quarterly revenue growth for AMZN and BKS. Notice that:

1. For Barnes & Noble, 4Q sees a Christmas spike each year.
How much of such a spike was included in the AMZN 4Q97?

2. AMZN revenue growth doubled every quarter in 1996. In 1997,
that growth moderated, but spiked with the Christmas quarter.
Will revenue growth moderate still more in 1998?

3. AMZN can only get so large revenue-wise. BKS, which
sells through stores, on the net, etc., has quarterly
revenues of about $600MM. AMZN, which sells through one source
(the internet) has sales that are approaching $100MM/quarter.
There is a limit somewhere, and it will impede the rate of
revenue growth. Not to mention that other companies are
coming into the same market (Random House is the latest).

4. Not everyone wants to buy books on the net. Many people
(myself included) enjoy flipping through real books on the
displays, and enjoying the experience of just being in a
bookstore.

BKS (Barnes and Noble):

1994 1995 1996 1997
1Q 320MM 402MM 509MM 596MM
2Q 351MM 420MM 524MM 618MM
3Q 359MM 432MM 533MM 615MM
4Q 593MM 723MM 882MM 969MM

AMZN:
1996 1997
1Q .8MM 16MM
2Q 2.2MM 28MM
3Q 4.1MM 38MM
4Q 8.5MM 66MM

Gary Korn



To: Edward Burgener who wrote (2521)3/29/1998 2:48:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Interestingly, BKS (Barnes and Noble) has been the exlusive bookseller
through AOL since March 1997. Doesn't seem to have had an impact on AMZN revenues (though perhaps it slowed the rate of increase):

"BarnesandNoble.com was launched in 1997 as an online subsidiary of Barnes & Noble, Inc. The company's mission is to become the premier bookseller online. The company has been the exclusive book provider to America Online's Marketplace section since March 1997.

Additionally, BarnesandNoble.com has developed an e-commerce Web site, which was launched in May 1997. BarnesandNoble.com offers every title in print and delivers deep discounts on all its titles in stock: 30
percent off all hardcovers and 20 percent off all paperbacks. By the fall of 1997, the company will offer next business-day delivery on over 400,000 titles.

Barnes & Noble, Inc. is the world's largest bookseller. It is the leading operator of book superstores in America, with 454 stores nationwide, in 48 states. It also operates 559 bookstores in shopping malls. The company also publishes books under its own imprint for exclusive sale through its retail stores and nationwide mail order catalogs. General financial information on Barnes & Noble, Inc. can be obtained via the Internet by visiting the company's investor relations Web site: shareholder.com;

Gary Korn



To: Edward Burgener who wrote (2521)3/29/1998 2:53:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
FROM THE BORDERS WEBSITE: borders.com

Coming soon to a computer near you!

A new Borders.com where you'll
be able to search for the titles
you want and buy them from the
comfort of your own keyboard.

Would you like us to drop
you a line when this site
launches? If so, please
type in your email address
below:

Email:

If you bookmark this page
now, you'll only be a click
away when our new site is
online!

Gary Korn