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To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (36001)3/29/1998 1:55:00 PM
From: Paul van Wijk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Paul,

>> I think that it may actually serve as an engine to stimulate
>> computer sales.

True in my opinion. Also keep in mind that most systems has been
fixed and tested in a stand-alone environment. In 1999 companies will
need a Y2k-compliant test-infrastructure where they can test all
the components (hardware, system-software, application-software, network, DBMS etc.) together.

Another trigger for extra sales is the fact that not all PC's are
Y2k-compliant. Older models especially. If I had the choice of
fixing them or upgrading to newer models I would choose the last
option. And I'm sure I'm not the only one that thinks that way.
Also because upgrading needs less human resources to do.

>> I think that the argument that code conversion will preclude
>> hardware purchases is nonsense.

Yes & no. Yes because most companies reserve extra money on top
of their IT-budget. No because the Y2k is a very labor-intensive
experience. What I mean is that a company don't have the resources
to do a major hardware upgrade and also fixing the Y2k-bug.
The shortage of IT-personel is more and more becoming a bottleneck.

So far my respons to what you've posted. But I do think that you
have to dig deeper to find the real threads. I posted many times
about the Y2k-subject because I do seriously believe that it will
sooner or later sent a shock-wave through Wallstreet that is a lot
bigger than the one we had from the Asia-stuff.

Companies that look very save investments at this moment won't be
that in the next few years. Only because of a very simple bug.
That is why I keep posting about this subject. I'm not pretending
I know what will happen. Simply because I don't. But I do now
that the impact will be very, very large. Hopes this stimulates
you to do some more research on the subject and, as always, draw
your own conclusions.

With regards,

Paul