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To: dumbmoney who wrote (31402)3/29/1998 3:56:00 PM
From: DavidG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53903
 
Dumbmoney,

Unlike some people, I *know* I cannot predict what will happen in '99. (It's not that other people can predict - they just pretend they can).

I am not really asking you to PREDICT what will happen in 1999, but rather what COULD happen in 1999 that could be positive for MU...such as the price of 64MB SDRAM with PC100. Can MU even survive being in this market...or can they possibly do mediocre...or maybe...can they even flourish?

Do you believe the PC100 interface is trivial for DRAM manufacturers with current fabs...or possibly another round of upgrades is a necessity?

...and if so who really benefits from these requirements...who REALLY suffers? Is Korea winning this race right now...if not do they have the capital to get in the race? How complicated is the manufacturing and testing of these silly little devices?

Can anyone make money on 64mb chips...if so who are they? If not why not? Why would they continue in this business if there is no profit? ...hmmmm...Don't you sometimes ask yourself that question?

MU management seems reasonably smart, they have almost $billion dollars should they be using that money to buy MSFT stock to improve their profits?

Do you sometimes wonder if you have all the pieces to the puzzle?...maybe somebody is playing a game with you and withholding those few key pieces until the puzzle is almost completed?

I wonder what will happen to MU's stock price next week, given our current understanding of MU's fundamentals?

DavidG



To: dumbmoney who wrote (31402)3/30/1998 12:10:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 53903
 
>>Seriously what might the bulls be seeing that you might refuse to see or you feel
compelled to ignore.<<

huge losses and, at best, dead money. the nasdaq is near it all time hig. so is the dow and just about every other index out there. valuations are at their all time high for the s&p.

mu is 70% down from its high.

i have not done that great buying puts on mu. i'm in the dead money category - about even. however, don't insulot me and all the bears by saying the bulls "see" something we don't other than their gretly reduced brokerage statements.

traders are different. they can make and lose money no matter what the stock does. i'm not talking trader. i'm talking bull. and it is bulls, not traders, that have mu at this absurd stock price.

these analysts couldn't predict 3 feet in front of their faces, saying nothing about 1.5 years out. pleeeeeeeease...

skeets breaks down the truth...