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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Funda who wrote (5759)3/30/1998 4:17:00 PM
From: Pancho Villa  Respond to of 18691
 
>I wouldn't feel comfortable buying Yahoo at these levels, but I wouldn't feel comfortable shorting it either<

Can't blame you!

>Where does the valuation of Yahoo come from? Take a look at the ISDEX archives available on quote.yahoo.com . They have a valuation model based on the number of unique users visiting these web sites and have made a reasonable estimate about the amount of money that companies advertising on Yahoo might want to spend.<

Reminds me of valuation models for biotech companies during the biotech craze years.

>If you are short Yahoo, I wish you good health.<

Thanks!

Pancho



To: Funda who wrote (5759)3/30/1998 4:21:00 PM
From: craig crawford  Respond to of 18691
 
<< I think it is instructive to study the rise and fall of Netscape. >>

YHOO and NSCP are two totally different animals. I don't think comparisons between the two are valid.

<< NSCP also climbed to astronomical heights and it has taken almost 2 years and major competition from Microsoft to bring their stock price down to a more reasonable level. >>

There are major differences between the way NSCP rose and the way YHOO's stock has risen.



To: Funda who wrote (5759)3/30/1998 9:43:00 PM
From: phbolton  Respond to of 18691
 
Funda wrote "And unlike Netscape, Yahoo doesn't have Microsoft or anybody else breathing down its neck."

Nonsense, YHOO has less than 8% market share and its falling. MSFT's combined sites (MSFT, MSN, hotmail) already have more traffic than YHOO's. At current rates of growth Excite should pass YHOO in a month or so. Etc, etc...