To: Rod who wrote (7130 ) 3/31/1998 7:05:00 PM From: John Mattessich Respond to of 8116
Just a little more on the topic of Short Sales from the Fool (mainly for CYTO investors who are not pros on this topic but due to the huge increase in CYTO shorts need to know more) : 3. WHAT IS SHORT INTEREST? What is short interest? Does it have anything to do with short attention spans? Pardon? Short interest? Oh yes! Ahem, short interest is simply the total number of shares of a company that have been sold short. The Fool believes that the best shorts are those with low short interest. They present the maximum chance for price depreciation as few short sales have occurred, driving down the price. Also, low short interest stocks are less susceptible to short squeezes (see item ( ) right here for more on short squeezes). Short interest figures are available towards the end of each month in financial publications like Barrons and the Investor's Business Daily. The significance of short interest is relative. If a company has 100 million shares outstanding and trades 6 million shares a day, a short interest of 3 million shares is probably not significant (depending on how many shares are closely held). But a short interest of 3 million for a company with 10 million shares outstanding trading only 100,000 shares a day is quite high. I've heard the term 'days to cover' thrown around quite a bit. Does 'days to cover' have anything to do with short interest? Yes, it does! Days to cover is a function of how many shares of a particular company have been sold short. It is calculated by dividing the number of shares sold short by the average daily trading volume. Look at Ichabod's Noggins (Nasdaq:HEAD) (N) (S). One million shares of this issue have been sold short (we can find this number, called the short interest, in such publications as Barrons and the IBD). It has an average trading volume of 25,000. The days to cover is 1,000,000/25,000, or 40 days. When you short a stock, you want the days to cover to be low, say around 7 days or so. This will make the shares less subject to a short squeeze, the nightmare of shorters in which someone starts buying up the shares and driving up the share price. This induces shorters to buy back their shares, which also drives up the price! A short days to cover means the short interest can be eliminated quickly, preventing a short squeeze from working very well. Also, a lengthy days to cover means that many people have already sold short the stock, making a further decline less likely.