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To: yard_man who wrote (15289)4/1/1998 10:47:00 AM
From: Bonnie Bear  Respond to of 18056
 
in a truly deflationary environment, bonds and cash are king.
By far the biggest expense for people in the west is housing- that's the point, when you see asset inflation in housing AND stocks AND money supply, this is wildly inflationary, not deflationary. 50-70% of after-tax incomes go to housing in the bay area. People are being forced out into outlying areas and driving the price up. Salaries are being driven up. I can't figure out where the feds get their housing cost numbers in their models. The cost of housing is the reason so many people opt for foreclosure- you mortgage your soul, file for bankruptcy and you get to keep the house without paying for it. It makes a whopping difference in their standard of living to do this.
There's people sleeping in the parks here because they were forced out of their rentals by 30% rent hikes.
I can remember a time when cash was king. It was in my lifetime.



To: yard_man who wrote (15289)4/1/1998 10:59:00 AM
From: Bonnie Bear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
the shell game is amazing- S&P dumps CPU and jacks up Providian Financial to make up for it. CPU is being hit by bad debt and slow sales, Providian is being raised for purchase of a huge line of unsecured credit-card debt. Accounting magic just wipes the bad debt away- you sell your line of bad credit cards to somebody else, they write off part of it and the street rewards them. I've seen this several times now. Amazing.