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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (15434)4/1/1998 10:11:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
What's to give up on Marketgauge? It's an array of long-established technical indicators.

One might as well give up on thermometers, thermostats, barometers, hygrometers, pyrometers, pressure gauges, speedometers, odometers, altimeters, bathometers, compasses, chronometers, colorimeters, calorimeters, thickness gauges, and spherometers.

All other measurements of the market are only different combinations or variants of the relationships measured there.

Of course, I suppose there is the possibility that technical analysis of every sort is perfectly useless. This is the point of view of many of the most successful investors and analysts of the market.

Remembering the success of the non-human technical indicators used by Wall Street Week a long time ago, I am going to continue to see what the Marketgauge indicators may tell me.

As I have said, so far they don't seem to say anything very definite. I am waiting for a massive consensus to confirm that the bear market is under way, or almost.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (15434)4/2/1998 6:26:00 AM
From: P.Prazeres  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
The futures aren't up very much (about 1.5 on the S&P)..but they haven't been much of a good indicator lately anyway....

who thinks it gets to 9000 by Friday afternoon???

I just don't know...

Paulo



To: William H Huebl who wrote (15434)4/2/1998 11:43:00 AM
From: Bill Ounce  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Expect the Unexpected: Why the Value of the U.S. Equity Market will Decline by 25% to 30% by the End of 1998 due to the Year 2000 Issue

y2ktimebomb.com

[...]

We see market corrections beginning in 1998 because critical deadlines have been
established for companies working to reach Year 2000 compliance. The Federal Reserve has
mandated that banks and financial institutions have their systems ready for testing by
December 1998. Many companies and municipalities have also adopted this date. With
testing starting by 12/1998, organizations will have one year to test their compliant
systems and seek verification. Discounting this event six months, investors should
seriously take note during the second quarter of 1998.

[...]

When investors finally realize and understand the financial implications of Year 2000,
financial assets will be revalued to reflect the Year 2000 risk factors inherent in the
business enterprise. Will investors willingly continue to pay 20 or 30 times earnings for a
company that can not ensure their mission critical systems will be ready for testing by
December 1998? We believe they won't and would advise investors to begin developing a
financial strategy that protects assets and is responsive to opportunities in the market.
Investors should note that the Year 2000 issue will be a financial factor well into the next
millennium, so there is a need to develop both short-term and long-term expectations.

[...]