Been there, done that, CS holders, enjoy the ride, it will get worse before it gets better....
Cabletron's Management Dilemma: To Lead or Follow?
REPORT ID: 180330-0004-01.NV REPORT DATE: April 01, 1998 ANALYST: F. McClimans
VENDOR IMPORTANCE RATING: Very High INDUSTRY IMPORTANCE RATING: Very High CURRENT PERSPECTIVE RATING: Positive/Neutral
EVENT SYNOPSIS (From the vendor press release):
"March 30, 1998 - Cabletron Systems, Inc. announced that the Board of Directors has accepted the resignation of Donald B. Reed, President and Chief Executive Officer, effective immediately. He will remain as a consultant and member of the Board of Directors. Craig R. Benson, Chairman of the Board and a co-founder of the company, will assume Mr. Reed's responsibilities. In addition, John d'Auguste, Executive Vice President of Cabletron's Enterprise Business Unit, has been promoted to President of Operations while David J. Kirkpatrick, Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer, has been promoted to Corporate Executive Vice President of Finance."
ANALYTICAL SUMMARY:
We are neutral on this announcement by Cabletron, although we believe that Don Reed has done an excellent job in the short time he has been at Cabletron in changing the fundamental focus of this firm:
ú We do not understand all of the underlying dynamics of this change, but are pleased by the swiftness of Mr. Benson's move (and the avoidance of "Steve Jobs Syndrome" that has paralyzed Apple in the wake of Mr. Jobs on-again, off-again status as CEO).
ú Craig Benson is a very effective implementer who should be able to take Mr. Reed's plan and put it into action more effectively than Mr. Reed could - a point that we think Mr. Benson and Mr. Levine should have picked up on during Mr. Reed's selection process late last year. However, we are concerned by recent staff changes that indicate that Mr. Reeds plans may not be followed all that close in the near future.
ú Don Reed is staying on for six months as an advisor, although it is unclear whether this will be an "exit strategy" or the real thing. We are a little concerned about Cabletron's long-term future, however, due to Craig Benson's self-confessed shortcoming in strategic planning and the lack of long-term commitment (other than his seat on Cabletron's board) from Mr. Reed.
ú This announcement should have a significant impact on the market as it signals a change in a top tier company and offers a tremendous marketing opportunity (i.e., attack opportunity) for Cabletron's customers.
ANALYSIS:
VENDOR IMPORTANCE RATING: Very High.
This is of very high importance to Cabletron and should be felt from the lowest level to the highest in this organization.
ú Did Cabletron need to make this type of move? According to Mr. Reed it did. In a rare admission that he was not the "one" to lead the firm, he asked to swap places with Mr. Benson. Swap, however, is not quite the correct word since Mr. Benson retains his position as the chairman of the board while Mr. Reed retains his own position on the board (with just under 3 years on his term), giving up his position as CEO.
ú According to Mr. Benson, his own skills and knowledge of the "skeletons" in the closets will enable him to better drive (or perhaps control) the operations of Cabletron. This would confirm recent speculation that "internal" Cabletron was reluctant to follow Mr. Reed's lead, perhaps given the difference in management style from the previous strict control imposed by Mr. Benson and Mr. Levine.
ú From a broader perspective, there were many Cabletron observers who were concerned with Cabletron's recent financial loss. For whatever reason, Mr. Reed felt that he was not capable of implementing his business strategy in the present situation as effectively as Mr. Benson. If that was in fact the case, the firm's actions were justified.
INDUSTRY IMPORTANCE RATING: Very High.
This announcement is of very high importance to the industry at large:
ú Cabletron, although they are the smallest of the top tier networking firms, is still considered an impact player and is most definitely on the competitive radar screens of Cisco, Bay and 3Com.
ú This announcement will most likely serve as competitive marketing ammunition for Cabletron's competitors and could signal a renewed attack on Cabletron's core user base.
ú From an outside perspective, this move serves as a confirmation of the volatility within the networking segment and the significance of a strong hand at the helm in an industry that is still considered to be maturing, rather than mature.
CURRENT PERSPECTIVE RATING: Positive/Neutral.
We are taking a slightly (and we must emphasize the slight part) positive approach to this announcement, which was certainly unexpected. Cabletron has lost a great deal of market share in the past two years, from 70% of the shared network market to 20% now. Further, the company has just released its annual financial results that show a loss of $6.3 million (compared to a profit of $72.6 million the year before). However, none of these shortfalls can be blamed on Don Reed, who was only appointed seven months ago. Since he started, Mr. Reed has been making all the right moves, such as restructured sales channels that allow Cabletron to concentrate on its biggest customers (the top 600, responsible for 80% of revenue) while passing the smaller customers out to the channels. Reed also pushed for the acquisition of Digital's networking business unit (to bring in channels, international support and both low and high-end product), as well as the acquisition of Yago, a emerging provider of high performance switching/routing products. This has allowed Cabletron to begin moving away from its old, vertical market focus, although this has only just begun.
Don Reed's tenure as President and CEO of Cabletron has little more than half a year, and his plan to return the company to its previous fortunes has only just begun. However, although Mr. Reed's ability to develope the strategy for Cabletron's future was never in doubt, his ability to implement this plan was more questionable. Mr. Reed has effectively spent his entire career within Nynex (and New England Telephone before that) and the monolithic Baby Bell environment is a far cry from the rapidly-changing networking industry. Mr. Reed's assertions that he could easily adapt to this new, fast moving culture always looked a little unconvincing.
Craig Benson (co-founder and the new CEO), on the other hand, understands the networking culture. Although the first to admit that he is not a good planner, he is a very efficient implementer. This should, therefore, be a beneficial move for Cabletron, at least in the short term. However, our concern with Craig Benson is that, by his own admission, he is not an effective planner. Don reed's vision for Cabletron's future obviously has a sell-by date attached to it and a year or two from now the shape of the networking industry may have very little relevance to his plan.
The important, and unanswered, question is how much input Don Reed will have as a consultant to Cabletron. He has been given a six month contract to advise Mr. Benson, but we suspect that, in reality, there will be little or no input given or accepted. Further, we are concerned about Mr. Benson implementing somebody else's ideas in areas that Cabletron has not proven themselves capable in the past (parts of the plan, such as a new-found emphasis on distribution channels for customer support, have been attempted by Cabletron before but with less than impressive results).
Further, we are concerned about the longevity of Mr. Reed's plans. While one of Mr. Reed's own hand-picked managers, John d'Auguste (former executive vice president of Cabletron's enterprise business unit), has been promoted to president of operations, as part of this management play, Stephan Gray, director of marketing and communications, and Mark Truhlar, senior director of software development, have both resigned citing incompatibilities with the firm's new strategies in their respective areas. These actions at least give some credit to the possibility that there is more behind this management movement than has been detailed publicly.
If in fact this action was a result of a lack of control over Cabletron's operations, and perhaps a bit of a reaction to Cabletron's recent financial mis-step, the question now is what type of involvement might we see from Mr. Levine.
However, despite all the recent turmoil at Cabletron, the unanswered questions, and the shift in management, we are still long-term positive about Cabletron and optimistic on their prospects in the networking market over the next few years.
TOP COMPETITIVE POSITIVES:
There are several positives to this announcement:
ú Mr. Benson is clearly capable of driving Cabletron in whatever direction he (or the board) sees fit. With this in mind, we are pleased by Mr. Benson's comments supporting Mr. Reed's strategies and plans.
ú Mr. Reed retains his seat on the board of directors, as well as several hand-picked ally's in Cabletron's management team.
ú Mr. Benson's swift movement has prevented any paralysis similar to what Apple is experiencing with Mr. Jobs' status as a "part-time" CEO.
TOP COMPETITIVE CONCERNS:
We have several strong concerns with this announcement:
ú We are unsure how much input Mr. Reed will actually have over the long-term (an important point as we feel his "outsider" viewpoints have been beneficial to Cabletron's strategy over the last six months).
ú We are concerned about recent staff departures (immediately after Mr. Reed's resignation) which may signal a return to the previous strategies of Cabletron.
ú We are concerned about the impact of this move on Cabletron's internal organization that has just begun to adapt to Mr. Reed's management style and strategy plans.
ú We are concerned that this move is a reaction to Cabletron's recent financial loss, a move that we feel would be premature given the overall slowdown in the networking sector and the statements by Mr. Benson supporting Mr. Reed's strategies and objectives.
TOP VENDOR SUPPORT ACTIONS:
We suggest the following actions for Cabletron to bolster their recent management moves:
ú Mr. Reed and Mr. Benson need to be very visible in the industry together as a team. Mr. Reed did not participate at all in the press conference announcing his resignation. That act alone was counter to the assertion that this was a "Reed-sponsored" move.
ú Cabletron needs to stick with Mr. Benson for the long-term as they cannot afford another management change in the next 12-24 months.
ú Cabletron needs to quickly answer any concerns by their internal staff to prevent any wave of staff defections (although there are not too many places to defect to in New Hampshire). We are particularly concerned by defections in the sales and support team, a unit that needs to perform aggressively to maintain Cabletron's base of installed accounts.
ú Cabletron needs to detail out its plans for continuing the implementation of Mr. Reed's more "open" Cabletron, including the continuation of the partnership/acquisition strategy that has brought new technology and ideas to the Cabletron team.
ú Cabletron should aggressively explore opportunities to expand their relationship with Compaq through its Digital distribution partnership.
ú Cabletron needs to move quickly to reassure their distribution partners and potential channel partners that this move will not lessen Cabletron's commitment to the "indirect" model of sales that Mr. Reed had begun to implement.
TOP COMPETITOR ACTIONS:
We anticipate the following competitive actions:
ú Cisco, Bay and 3Com can all be expected to use this management change aggressively in their day-to-day sales actions. We anticipate, perhaps unfairly, that they will charge that Cabletron is "out of control" - a move that would be extremely inaccurate given Mr. Benson's strong management skills.
ú We anticipate that all Cabletron competitors will use this recent move to try and keep their distribution channels loyal and prevent Cabletron from moving into the channel space.
TARGET MARKETS: Enterprise users, workgroup users, Carriers, ISPs
TOP USER ACTIONS:
ú Existing Cabletron users should not be overly concerned with this changing of the guard at this time. Instead, concentrate on Cabletron's ability to provide the products that you want at a reasonable price.
ú Question Cabletron over its longer term strategy. What is the company going to do when it needs to adapt Mr. Reed's plan? Does the company have any intention of maintaining contact with Mr. Reed in the longer term?
ú Non-Cabletron users who are presently considering a purchase from Cabletron may want to watch Cabletron for the next week or so to determine the magnitude of Cabletron's management changes and to determine how Cabletron's internal staff will react (we do not expect any significant "push back" from Cabletron's staff and believe that any short-term defections will be limited).
BACKGROUND INFORMATION: REPORT ID: 180330-0004-01.NV EVENT: Statement from Craig Benson, Cabletron Systems REPORT TYPE: Competitive Intelligence TYPE OF EVENT: Corporate Announcement VENDORS: Cabletron Systems COMPETITORS: Cisco, 3Com, Bay Networks MARKET SEGMENT: Intranet Switching, TECHNOLOGY: HUBs, LAN, Network Management, Routers, Switching (LAN), Switching (WAN), TARGET MARKETS: Enterprise users, workgroup users, Carriers, ISPs
DATE OF EVENT: March 30, 1998 DATE OF ANALYSIS: April 01, 1998
All Materials Copyright 1997, 1998 CURRENT ANALYSIS, INC. |