SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tom D who wrote (2739)4/2/1998 7:36:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
If you think you know enough to bet against this sea change in modern society you are
either very knowledgeable, or risk tolerant, or both.


I am both. Amazon is no different than any other company that has been driven by momentum. There are no fundamentals to support this price and I believe that is not in dispute by many.

Glenn



To: Tom D who wrote (2739)4/2/1998 9:11:00 PM
From: FrankInNYC  Respond to of 164684
 
Tom, how should we measure AMZN's worth? It is obvious P/Es using forward earnings or trailing, have no meaning. Because AMZN promises to make 2 cents a share in 2 or 3 years? That's alot of faith to put in a company that can't even meet this quarter's projections of a 46 cent LOSS. It's going to be a 49 cent loss, and the market is rewarding it with a 10 point gain in 2 days. Measure AMZN the same way you measure the worth of art or a Mickey Mantle baseball card - it's worth as much as the next sucker is willing to pay for it, whatever is in the eye of the beholder. What did Gordon Gekko in "Wall Street" say to Bud Fox about that painting on his wall - something to the effect of the "illusion has now become reality"?
Punish a solid, dominant company like Intel or Compaq for missing by 2 cents, but reward a startup with NO reputation for earnings which misses its earnings (even projects bigger losses in future) by running its stock through the roof.



To: Tom D who wrote (2739)4/2/1998 9:23:00 PM
From: dumbmoney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
<< Maybe multiples of 1999 earnings are the wrong tool....

...for assigning a value to AMZN. Who knows when such a pedestrian yardstick will be meaningful for internet stocks? >>

Ever heard the term "profitless prosperity"? That's Amazon's past, present, and future. Lots of sales, no profits.



To: Tom D who wrote (2739)4/3/1998 10:34:00 AM
From: Don Westermeyer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Tom,

As long as the market invests in AMZN like they do in 'Beanie Babies' you will be right.

The irony is, when they do start making real profits (say 0.50), the stock likely really will trade at a P/E of 50 or so.

:)