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To: Alomex who wrote (10803)	4/3/1998 12:49:00 PM
From: Phillip C. Lee	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 213177

But if they enter a harsh recession (which is likely) the savings would be used up and consumed away... Well, not really but it's made U.S. worry about since Japan and U.S. economic is tied together which is very hard to separate. If Japan starts to sell U.S. bonds, bills, then U.S. may have severe inflation problems. On the other hand, if Japan can not export goods to U.S., then Japan will have severe recession. Both scenarios won't happen. Just when I look at Japan is like I look at you, they are too pessimistic about their future perspectives. They are rich but too conservative, which ends up creating a very depressing environment over there. FWIW I have followed the impending crisis in Indonesia and Thailand from about a year before it made any headlines here. These countries (Indonesia, Thailand, Korea, and Malaysia) are small market to U.S. Their combined exported market is about 7% of all U.S. exports. The big ones, such as Japan, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong are still healthy. Back to my original point. Any one of those developments alone should give investors a pause for thought. Instead the Dow rallies to 9,000. I agree. This time it is running a little too fast. Phil