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To: uu who wrote (8789)4/3/1998 5:07:00 PM
From: cfimx  Respond to of 64865
 
>>In my humble opinion as long as PCs continue to decline in prices, NCs will not be popular. It is as simple as that<<

funny...I said the same exact thing a year ago..but I was just about crucified. addi, somehow, i don't think that will be your fate around here. but welcome. it's nice to have the sunw perma bull firmly in MY CAMP.

I couldn't DISAGREE with you more, however, on sunw's opportunites in the server space. But hey, in a few months, you may start to see it my way-just like you did with NCs.



To: uu who wrote (8789)4/3/1998 5:19:00 PM
From: Charles Tutt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
 
If I had the choice between a PC and an NC at the same price, I'd take the NC. It should be smaller and consume less power (so run cooler), and hence should be more reliable; it also should be more secure and easier to administer. Theft or failure of an NC doesn't result in data loss, but how many people regularly back up their PC's? Of course, I'm assuming that the NC would perform whatever tasks I needed to do (i.e. software and any needed accessories, like modems, must be available), that the flexibility/expandability of the PC would not outweigh the benefits of of the NC (but note that the "flexibility/expandability" of PC's, and especially those competing at NC price levels, is questionable anyway -- how many businesses are modifying their 486's to meet current needs rather than buying whole new machines?), and that hidden costs are accounted for (e.g. the possible need for more robust servers and networks in the case of the NC, and the extra work needed to install, secure, and maintain PC's along with probable increased downtime due to higher complexity of PC's over NC's).

JMHO, of course.



To: uu who wrote (8789)4/3/1998 5:24:00 PM
From: cheryl williamson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
 
Addi,

Right. The PC makers bring down the price of their hardware
until it approaches the price of an NC. Just how low do you
think thes clowns can go & still make money? Intel's gross
margin on an MMX is about $20 per unit vs +$500 per unit on
a Pentium (300mhz). They can outfit the cheap PC's any way
they want, but someone has to PAY for the hardware. The concept
of FAT technology is that there is lots & lots of stuff inside
your PC that will give you all the bell & whistles on your own
desktop. History has shown that manufacturing efficiencies
have reduced the cost of components. But the PCs, up until
recently, have remained around $2000 or so. Why? You get
more computing power for the same money, right? For PC makers
to continue to make money & charge LESS for their machines,
they have to thin them out or use older technology. Both of
those solutions are loaded with minefields when you consider
MSFT's bloatware.

CPQ is already feeling the squeeze, as are disk driver, semiconductor
manufacturers, & semiconductor equipment makers. NC's are partly
responsible for this. Now that they are on the market, the
days of expensive FAT clients doing simple tasks in business
are numbered. The terminal market alone is estimated at more
than 30 million seats & SUNW's JavaStation is just out of the
box. As software becomes available, NC's will become increasingly
popular.

People who want their own personal nuclear power plant at home can
continue to buy ever-bigger & ever-more-powerful gatesmobiles.
IT managers, however, are looking for good value. They'll see
cheap hardware attached to powerful, reliable servers, low
m&e costs, and scalable applications that they can run from their
MVS/XA machines all the way down to their JavaStations. It's
a more efficient technology, Addi. That's why it will succeed.



To: uu who wrote (8789)4/4/1998 6:28:00 AM
From: JDN  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 64865
 
Dear Addi: I have been in SUNW a long time and I have read your very informative posts over much of that time. I have a question for you as my memory isnt clear on this. I seem to recall that when the NC concept etc. was first announced everyone was saying no big deal to SUNW as low margins etc etc. If I am correct, then why if it appears the NC concept is likely to fade away is everyone taking it out on SUNW by running the stock price down? I have always felt it was the Server side and the Java language that was going to be SUNW's claim to fame. JDN