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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Valueman who wrote (9657)4/3/1998 11:07:00 PM
From: gdichaz  Respond to of 152472
 
Re Japan. Crash and burn. Naw. Stagnation yeah - maybe. But lots of smart folks in Japan. Think soon point will be reached were powers that be will decide that action beats slogans and band aids. But maybe not, who knows. Re Asia, think Korea might be interesting spot for investing since IMO will come out firstest with the mostest. Reason political leadership. Right man, right time. Luck. Hard work. Need to tighten belts clear to all, so will happen IMO. Then powerhouse with major sales overseas. But China is key IMO. Again the giant awakes. Deng's policies and legacy are bearing fruit IMO. Think top leadership understands technology and people work hard. Not bad, no? The Q may be on ground floor re CDMA there and assume Chinese are too smart and too proud to be stuck with a dying technology - GSM - for much longer when an ascendant technology CDMA beckons. Just 2 cents - and worth maybe half that ! :-) Chaz PS Know a bit about Asia and have observed some, but direct experience all south (and also west) of Vietnam/Laos/Cambodia and points north.



To: Valueman who wrote (9657)4/4/1998 6:28:00 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Valueman,
New Paradigm:
= hugely effective developments over the past 20 years and comparisons with 1929.

747s
computers
telephones
medical
globalisation
television
The Web
English/American lingua franca
war psychology demise
more people alive than dead [slight exaggeration only]
fewer children per person
oil exploration - reserves, coal, gas, nuclear, photovoltaics
optical fibre
lasers
DVD/CDROM
CDMA/Globalstar
gene chip arrays
interbreeding/migration
communism decline/individualism increase
dental floss
lead poison reduction = more brains
6 billions kilograms of brains alive instead of 2 billion in 1929
[same point as more alive than dead really]
urbanisation for most people compared with digging dirt in 1929
body piercing
calculators down to $10 from $1000
Windows 98
Eudora Pro
GPS

The list goes on and on and on.

To me that means rapid and increasing wealth - people can buy great stuff which they can use to make greater stuff. So the cost of doing anything will continue to drop rapidly [which allows Alan Greenspan, Japan etc to keep rolling the presses while happily watching no inflation]. So Qualcomm, Ford, Boeing, BP Oil, Sony, Affymetrix, Techniclone and all can go on producing more, with less, while making increased profit. 6 billion people all hunting the most valuable ecological niche for themselves. Some will fail, some will kill themselves, some will lie in the sun and be happy, some will seek maximum financial returns for their efforts. To me it all adds up to the new paradigm. Never before seen in human history. Or turtle, dinosaur or chimpanzee history either. Just a leap into the wild blue yonder.

Pessimists think this scary. Optimists see opportunity. So far, for a million years, the optimists have been right, give or take a few genocides, plagues and famines on the way. Sure, there has always been progress - but the industrial revolution was like a slow wander into oil, steel, gears and looms compared with the mad, impossibly complex developments now underway.

Twenty years now the USA has been in the forefront of developments with Japan leaping into the fray and succeeding wildly after being a bombed out catastrophe. China now is emerging from the 19th century statism disaster. Selling me amazing stuff for cheap. They'll soon be raising their prices as Chinese start to feel better off!

New paradigm rulz ok.
Japan/Nikkei a real deal.
Dow 16000 Feb 2002

Mqurice