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To: OM28 who wrote (10928)4/7/1998 9:40:00 AM
From: Phillip C. Lee  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 213177
 
Oliver,

Here is your request:

Welcome to the board. One thing all of us have to know is the
money managers who have real power to drive the future price up or
down don't really share with our high expectations here. They
expect $0.15 net for Q2. Therefore, if any number beyond that will
have good reaction. The following is my expectation from analysts'
reactions:

(1) If net < -$0.20 -> Significantly negative, price: $20 - $23;
(2) If -$0.20 < net < $0.0 -> Moderately negative, price: $23 - $25;
(3) If $0.0 < net < $0.15 -> Slightly negative, price: $25 - $27;
(4) If $0.15 < net < $0.20 -> Slightly positive, price: $26 - $29;
(5) If $0.20 < net < $0.25 -> Moderately positive, price: $28 - $30;
(6) If $0.26 < net < $0.35 -> Significantly positive, price: $30 - $33;
(7) If $0.35 < net < $0.50 -> Surprisingly positive, price: $33 - $35;
(8) If $0.50 < net -> Shockingly positive, price: $35+;

Besides the above figures, if the revenue is greater than 1.6b, then
it would break the historical pattern and will be a big plus towards
stock price.

Just my own estimates.

Phil