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To: SJS who wrote (18453)4/8/1998 1:29:00 PM
From: Czechsinthemail  Respond to of 95453
 
from Kerm's Korner:

Q1 To Favour Gas In Independents Earnings

First quarter 1998 earnings will magnify the relative strength in natural gas prices versus crude oil for independent exploration and production companies, Gerard Klauer Mattison said in a research report.

Henry Hub natural gas prices averaged $2.17 per million British thermal units, down 13 percent from the year ago quarter, while West Texas Intermediate crude oil averaged $15.93 barrel in the quarter, down 31 percent from a year ago.

"We believe this is indicative of continuing strong supply/demand fundamentals for U.S. natural gas," analysts Robert Christensen and Benjamin Shyman said.

Natural gas-sensitive names include Swift Energy Co with 87 percent natural gas in 1998 production, Coastal Corp , 83 percent gas, Sonat Inc , 80 percent gas, Burlington Resources Inc 76 percent, Enron Oil & Gas Co , 85 percent, and Consolidated Natural Gas Co 77 percent.

Conversely, companies with the most crude oil in their hydrocarbon mix could offer the worst quarterly comparisons.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co has 52 percent oil, Apache Corp 43 percent, Devon Energy Corp 41 percent, Anadarko Petroleum Corp 38 percent, Pogo Producing Co 37 percent, Seagull Energy Corp , 29 percent, Questar 27 percent and Western Gas Resources Inc with its large natural gas liquids.

"Safer haven energy stocks, such as integrated pipelines with diversification (pipelines, energy marketing, gas distribution and refining) could generate earnings surprises.
Integrated pipeline stocks, all of which we believe can beat 1Q98 consensus estimates include: buy-rated Coastal and Enron," the analysts said.



To: SJS who wrote (18453)4/8/1998 1:33:00 PM
From: drsvelte  Respond to of 95453
 
I show one downgrade for MDCO in the last four weeks. Latest recommendation is a "hold" by Johnson Rice, so that may have been it.



To: SJS who wrote (18453)4/8/1998 2:22:00 PM
From: DogDoc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
MDCO info from Zacks this morning.

MDCO: JOHNSON RICE decreased estimate for fiscal year ending
12/98 from $1.70 to $1.63 on 04/07/98
MDCO: JOHNSON RICE made new estimate for fiscal year ending 12/99 of $2.85 on 04/07/98
MDCO: JOHNSON RICE made new estimate for quarter ending 03/98 of $0.37 on 04/07/98
MDCO: JOHNSON RICE made new estimate for quarter ending 06/98 of $0.39 on 04/07/98
MDCO: JOHNSON RICE made new estimate for quarter ending 09/98 of $0.41 on 04/07/98
MDCO: JOHNSON RICE made new estimate for quarter ending 12/98 of $0.45 on 04/07/98

Regards, DogDoc



To: SJS who wrote (18453)4/8/1998 10:07:00 PM
From: Douglas V. Fant  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Steve, I just heard that MDCO warned- indeed they may have not. I do not follow MDCO..... HMAR I follow (but do not own- I'm inTMAR) and can assure that HMAR warned, sort of....

Sincerely,

Doug F.