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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Burry who wrote (3779)4/8/1998 6:09:00 PM
From: Don S.Boller  Respond to of 79047
 
Michael: There is an article in the new issue of Forbes magazine....
page 248 (April 20th),titled "Reality Check"...it lays out the
method used by Ernst Institutional Research - to evaluate earnings
clients such as Fidelity Investmts., Colonial Funds,atc. Ernst's
formula starts by comparing a co's growth in net worth over the
course of a year to its growth in operating assets (basically plant,
equip.,inventory). You subtract the latter from the former. The re-
sult is a crude measure of...free cash flow...(putting a poss. dividend
this is the amount of cash that has piled up. Then take this fig.
and subtract the growth in liabilities...(in the ex. used - no change
in liabs.). Divide the free cash by sales to get a percentage fig.
In the ex. = 3% (ratio). This figure, in and of itself, is not meaningful.
What is important is an upward or downward trend...One way to
use the trend is to compare a co's.cash flow trend to its valuation.
They give tables showing good p/e versus trend stocks and
overpriced ones, too.
Hope I'm not intruding here, with this.
Best,
Don



To: Michael Burry who wrote (3779)4/8/1998 6:54:00 PM
From: James Clarke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 79047
 
I'd like to hear others' opinions on this question.

Was yesterday the point of maximum fear on tobacco stocks? Or will it get worse?



To: Michael Burry who wrote (3779)4/8/1998 10:22:00 PM
From: Scott Mc  Respond to of 79047
 
Mike, I think thats why I invest in so many companies, management(people)are so unpredictible, as well so many other things that can go wrong....

I have A FANTASTIC VALUE Play for my buddies on the Value thread, its a little known secret that if you send an E-Mail to the web mistress and request a SI T-Shirt she will send you one, I just received it today, it has the SI login pic on the front and the URL on the back and I look forward to wearing it when I run tomorrow.. best of all its free.
Scott



To: Michael Burry who wrote (3779)4/9/1998 12:35:00 AM
From: Shane M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 79047
 
Thread,

I don't see sales growth as a major consideration discussed by many on the thread here, and I was wondering if posters would mind commenting on how they view sales growth in a value context.

To me personally, it is so crucial that I will rarely consider a company that doesn't have a history of positive sales growth, preferably 10%+ annually. On historical screens that I run, low valuation stocks with decent sales growth tend to consistently outperform the market.

Opinions?