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To: djane who wrote (42972)4/8/1998 8:44:00 PM
From: polarisnh  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 61433
 
djane,

<Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Internet analyst Mary Meeker predicts that the "golden age" of the Internet will come in 1999, when lack of bandwidth becomes a nonissue, and as a result consumers will be getting full-motion video and audio over the net.>

Mary Meeker is assuming that the major carriers will be expanding the Internet backbone fast enough to relieve the existing bottlenecks, support the doubling of Internet every 3 months, as well as, provide more than enough bandwidth to support all of the new full-motion video applications that are appearing every day? I don't think so!

The carriers will continue to play catch up at least through the year 2002. New concentrators are being deployed in a futile attempt to support the existing traffic. While I agree that bandwidth won't be a problem from a technology standpoint I do not believe that there will be adequate devices in place next year to support her statement.

Cheers,

Steve