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To: Terry Rose who wrote (9612)4/8/1998 11:50:00 PM
From: paul ross  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116791
 
Terry-

I'm hoping for the 30%, but expect we're more likely to see 10-15%. The actions of the Euro.
CB's, I believe more than a couple of the smaller potential EMU members have only around 10% gold reserves, and the fact that they have floated the 30% trial balloon, more and more seems to suggest to me the 10 or 15 number.

Yesterday a Euro. analyst on CNBC (I wish I could recall his name), felt the psycology surrounding the entrance of the Euro was that they wanted their currency initially as weak as possible vs. US$, so that it had nowhere to go but up. He said he expected the US$ to be at a cyclical high at the first of next year when the Euro made it's splash.

The concerns of the French and Germans over a weak Euro. seemed to disappearing through political means and the roaring European stock markets, rather than having to introduce a higher % of gold reserves. The French and German people would prefer a hard currency, the politicians a fiat EURO like the rest of Ivy Wall educated central bankers The French, somewhere I read today, have overwhelminlg approved that country's entrance into the EMU



To: Terry Rose who wrote (9612)4/9/1998 6:57:00 AM
From: Mark Bartlett  Respond to of 116791
 
Terry,

<<I continue to believe that the gold reserves in the EMU will be a minimum of 30% in order to make the EMU a strong currency from it's onset.>>

I agree ... if the EMU does not hold a high % of gold, there will not be much to differentiate it from other currencies. I think they want the Euro to be viewd as truly backed by gold. The Euro must be viewed as a very strong alternative to the US buck from the get-go, or it will not be taken seriously.

MB