To: Ms. X who wrote (2289 ) 4/8/1998 10:31:00 PM From: papi riqui Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34811
Jan, You said: <For those who have been paying attention, you know these are the first two indicators to reverse. The optional bullish percent also weakened this week and this is a big sign. A reversal here has always (save one time) precluded the reversal of the NYSE bullish percent. > Did you really mean precluded, or did you mean preceded? BTW, I just got back from the PHLX seminar in Crystal City. You were right, it was indeed worthwhile. Thanks for posting the notice about it last week, I would not have known of it otherwise. I did say a brief hi to Tom (and mentioned your name). He's quite a guy and made some very interesting comments on the current state of the market among other things. He urged caution about the market in general, citing the high NYSE bullish percentage and as well as the high # of sectors in the bullish % camp. Interestingly, he still thinks the OSX looks good (likes call options) and finds DIVE and VRC particularly interesting. But then, you know this already. Perhaps the most interesting thing he said had to do with precious metals, especially gold. I did not get all the details, but the gist of what he said was that a group of European (central bankers?) were meeting w/ Greenspan in Washington in 8 days (April 16) to discuss whether to return to the Bretton Woods agreement, i>e>, the GOLD STANDARD, and that the Italians are already talking about backing the EURO with 30% gold. Tom said that you won't read much about this in the press (very hush hush), but to look out for it. Said that if any of this were to happen, then of course gold would go thru the roof. Personally, I don't see the US reverting to the gold standard, but with the EURO anything is possible! This bears watching and could explain the recent strength in gold. He said some more interesting stuff, but I seem to be running on a bit. If anyone wants to hear more, I'll be happy to continue in another post. For those who are on the fence about going to the seminar, I'd say hop down and go, period. PR