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To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/8/1998 11:41:00 PM
From: Zebra 365  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
<<<tomorrow, YHOO may tank and take all internet with it, or it may shoot to new highs with all its followers.>>>

<<<IMHO it will not behave like any other animal of the market you've ever witnessed>>>

Beggin' yer pardon m'lord, but that is exactly like every other high flying stock I've ever witnessed.

Zebra



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/8/1998 11:50:00 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27307
 
Very, very good.



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/9/1998 12:23:00 AM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
NSCP, IOM, PRST, ....

ho hum!



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/9/1998 12:28:00 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27307
 
Hi Gaurdian; I guess I'll have to defend the "traditional
valuation paradigm".

If I think of myself in a stock market of the past
where electricity and telephone were being introduced
,
I would possibly think back to the 20s. Traditional
valuation was thrown out for stocks like RCA, the
inventor of the new advertising medium, radio. (Smells
a lot like YHOO, doesn't it?) RCA was a successful,
and profitable company and survived and prospered.
People in the 20s were all buying radios (smells like
computers don't it?) and they all wanted stock in the
premier company (like YHOO is the premier search
engine company) that made them, RCA.

They managed to get RCA up to $200 per share in '29,
which was a ridiculous multiple of sales, and multiple
of earnings. (Does anybody have the numbers?)

During the crash that followed, RCA went to the low
single digits, no splits needed.

So this is why traditional valuation paradigms have
survived for the many, many, many generations that
humans have traded stocks.

The premier investor for the long term is Warren
Buffet, and it is pretty clear that he own no YHOO.
He's been right for something like 45 years, and he
uses the traditional valuation paradigm. After this
market wrecks and a lot of people who retired at
39 are back in the work force, Warren will still be
an investment guru. (Though he is getting kind
of old.)

-- Carl



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/9/1998 11:30:00 AM
From: wiley murray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
Guardian: Your point is well taken. In order to have a intuitive approach to the market you need to be able to look at the market from an outside the box approach.You seem to have caught that idea in your summary.Can you share this insight in your projection of market direction on a short and long term basis? What sectors? Thanks.



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/9/1998 11:39:00 AM
From: Al Chechatka  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27307
 
YAHOO is a commidity product with not huge revenue. You say it is like the RR or Electricity. Those have infrastructure. This does not. There are other search engines and there will be others. Maybe YAHOO can market their name like a "Coke" or "Nike," but I don't see them make 100's of millions of dollars. REVENUES was only 30 million dollars! Someone else can and will build a better mouse trap. It will be where Netscape is after it rose to glory and fell. It doesn't take a huge investment for this infrastructure, unlike rail, telephone , and electric.



To: Guardian who wrote (9499)4/9/1998 12:16:00 PM
From: John Donahoe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27307
 
I agree. We are witnessing a historical paradigm shift. Few will see or understand until it becomes obvious. But those that do will be rewarded by holding shares in companies that are the future.

JD