SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (9770)4/10/1998 3:16:00 PM
From: Enigma  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116756
 
Bobby B - such a good chart - you'll see that although it tipped over 1000 in '72 it couldn't hold and in fact couldn't get through during the whole decade of the 70s, and not even by 1982 apparently.

Look at the amazing bull and bear runs during that decade. How many people would have the stomach (today) for a drop from 1050 to below 600 - in other words a drop to 5,100 on the Dow today? This was a bear market of about 2 years, including a very dangerous and tempting bear rally (as it turned out). It was the worst time imaginable to be a stockbroker because there was so little volume - the tape moved in slow motion most days, just seemed to be creeping across the screen. The succeeding bull run from 600 to 1000 took just over a year.

The more we go up now the greater the potential for a blow off - but by far the worst thing is a drawn out bear market like '73, because if it happens in a day or two like '87 there is likely to be a bottom - not necessarily, but likely. The Bear market in the early '30s, following the post crash recovery, must have been devestating and completely demoralising.



To: bobby beara who wrote (9770)4/10/1998 6:46:00 PM
From: Enigma  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116756
 
Bobby B re:#9770 the a/d chart (Dow) - do you have the same chart for the present period, also the 20s? Thanks!