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To: djane who wrote (44328)4/14/1998 7:00:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
After crippling outage, AT&T tackles customer relations

By John Rendleman, PC Week Online
04.14.98 2:39 pm ET

zdnet.com

As engineers worked through last night and
into today to restore service on AT&T's
frame-relay network, Chairman Michael
Armstrong dispatched a personal letter to
the CEOs of each of the company's thousands of frame-relay customers
apologizing for a massive 20-hour outage.

The total failure of the network began Monday as a software or
hardware glitch between two of the 145 Cisco/Stratacom frame-relay
switches in the network quickly escalated into a complete service
disruption to all frame-relay customers.


"Frankly, these outages let our customers down, and I want to apologize
to each and every one of them," Armstrong said during a news
conference today.

To help make amends, AT&T will suspend all charges for frame-relay
service from the time the outage occurred until the company has
identified and corrected the problem and implemented systems to
prevent similar outages in the future.

"We will not charge customers for frame-relay service until we have
defined the problem and identified a solution," Armstrong said, adding
that AT&T also sent a technical letter from Frank Ianna, executive vice
president of network and computing services, to the CIOs and telecom
managers of AT&T's frame relay customers explaining the extent of the
problem.

The outage undoubtedly will have long-term implications for AT&T,
which has traditionally been considered the premier provider of wide
area frame-relay services in terms of reliability and network
performance.

While the outage lasted, in excess of 5,000 corporations were unable to
complete critical network-based business. Retailers, for example, were
unable to authorize credit-card payments and financial institutions could
not complete transactions.

For those customers, "the network is the very heart of their business,
and that is what we were affecting [with the frame-relay failure],"
Armstrong said.

AT&T provided select customers with regular updates every 15 or 20
minutes throughout the crisis, particularly in cases involving customers
with critical applications. The New York-based telecommunications
giant also worked closely with customers that had pre-existing backup
service arrangements with AT&T, officials said.

In the hours when the outage was most severe, AT&T engineers
focused first on identifying and isolating the problem, then on gradually
restoring customer circuits on the network, according to Armstrong and
Ianna.

By 11:45 a.m. ET today, AT&T had restored 75 percent of its
customer circuits, and by approximately 12:15 p.m. the company had
80 percent of its customers back online. The restoration rate reached 96
percent by 12:40 p.m.

In the days to come, AT&T will investigate the as-yet-undetermined
root cause of the failure between the two switches and devise a solution
to prevent future occurrences, Ianna said.



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To: djane who wrote (44328)4/14/1998 7:03:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 61433
 
Nortel buys into startup Avici for IP networking

By Scott Berinato, PC Week Online
04.14.98 5:04 pm ET

zdnet.com

Northern Telecom Ltd. (NT) today
extended its reach into carrier IP networking
by partnering with startup Avici Systems
Inc.

The Brampton, Ontario, company announced it will take a 20 percent
stake in Avici, of Chelmsford, Mass. As part of the deal, Mike Unger,
president of Nortel's optics division, will take a seat on Avici's board.
The terms of the agreement also call for cross-licensing and shared
distribution and support. Officials would not divulge further details about
the agreement.

Avici, which was formed in 1996, is developing a terabit switch router
to address increasing bandwidth demands on the public network. It will
house 20 slots for line cards that each act as hardware-based routers
with throughput capabilities of 70G bps.

Although Avici had hoped to begin beta testing the product around this
time, officials said today the router will enter beta by the end of the year.

"We realized [that] one key building block we don't have [in our
migration to IP] is a massively scalable carrier-grade backbone
router/switch capable of carrying huge amounts of IP traffic," said Derek
Oppen, vice president of business development for carrier-grade
networks at Nortel. "We felt we needed to work with an acknowledged
leader in the backbone space."


But Avici-with one round of financing totaling $15.7 million-doesn't have
a product out yet. That doesn't matter, according to one analyst.

"CTOs at ISPs [Internet service providers] and large corporations don't
see anything coming from the major networking companies," said Hilary
Mine, an analyst at Probe Research Inc., in Cedar Knolls, N.J. "They're
actually looking to smaller companies for terabit switch routing."


"The bottom line is [that] this is good for both companies," Mine
continued. "Avici gets the support lines no small company has, and
Nortel continues to add to its IP strategy."

Nortel can be reached at www.nortel.com. Avici is at www.avici.com.



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To: djane who wrote (44328)4/14/1998 7:34:00 PM
From: Joseph Colombo  Respond to of 61433
 
<<Just for fun, I've outlined my ASND stock price prediction
(assuming no buyout) until mid-1/99.>>

djane,

Good Post.

Joe



To: djane who wrote (44328)4/14/1998 7:42:00 PM
From: Jan Crawley  Respond to of 61433
 
4-6/98 40-45 trading range
early 7/98 Spike up to 45
mid-7/98 Q298 earnings report. CX550 revenues
7-9/98 40-45 trading range
late 9/98 45-50 trading range
(10/88 LU buyout speculation increases)
early 10/98 Spike up to 50
(continued LU buyout rumors; great compare to 10/97)
mid-10/98 Q398 earnings report
10-12/98 50-55 trading range
(buyout rumors; looking to 1999 $1.75+/sh estimates)
early 1/99 Spike up to 60 (Q4 usually strong)
mid-1/99 Q498 earnings report (FY1999 $1.75+/sh estimates)
mid-1/99 65-70 trading range


Djane,

I really think that you are on target. Around 2K shares seems like a reasonable position for small investors like us to hold. I hope that none of my shares will be called away. Thank you very much and please keep up the good work.

Jan