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Technology Stocks : MRV Communications (MRVC) opinions? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: cmg who wrote (8185)4/15/1998 8:03:00 PM
From: michael modeme  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42804
 
I don't know if the variation we see in MRVC's stock price is cyclic or simply stochastic. We would have to do a formal statistical test to find the answer. If trading based on a supposed cycle has been working for you, then by all means continue. But the overall trend to MRVC has been up since it IPO'd, and one can reasonably expect that trend to continue -- so I wouldn't sell at this point. If I get some time, I'll try to run some computer simulations to test you cyclic idea. Cheers



To: cmg who wrote (8185)4/15/1998 8:11:00 PM
From: michael modeme  Respond to of 42804
 
One other comment: I've noticed that smaller cap stocks tend to look more cyclical than larger cap stocks -- probably due to the discreteness of the process being exaggerated by a smaller float. Do you have any comments concerning this?


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