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Non-Tech : E*Trade (NYSE:ET) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: grogger who wrote (2817)4/15/1998 11:38:00 PM
From: jkb  Respond to of 13953
 
I agree with you - EGRP makes money - and is a viable business - today. The search engine Internet stocks are doing great because people are - however crazy as it seems - buying them for the growth possibilities - sequential and quarter over quarter growth in percentage terms is great there - and that's what people are paying for - the speculative growth opportunity. Growth in EGRP is now perceived as no longer accelerating at past rates - and therefore is no longer interesting to the speculative crowd - and thereby will likely trade at reasonable forward looking PE's (20-25, 30 at the high-end - IMO).

I do however think that this philosophy of buying based on speculative growth (i.e. Internet search engine stocks) is crazy as the first indication of market correction will begin their obliteration.

Good luck to all.



To: grogger who wrote (2817)4/16/1998 7:19:00 AM
From: Robert Giambrone  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13953
 
BN 4/15 Schwab Shares Fall as Online Trading Hurts Earnings (Update1)
Schwab Shares Fall as Online Trading Hurts Earnings (Update1)

(Updates percentages in 3rd and 5th paragraphs.)

San Francisco, April 15 (Bloomberg) -- Charles Schwab Corp.
shares fell almost 9 percent, its steepest drop since October's
market plunge, after the company reported disappointing earnings
as Internet trading squeezed commissions.

Schwab fell 3 1/2 to 36 7/16 after the biggest discount
broker said first-quarter earnings rose 1.9 percent to $68
million, or 25 cents a share. The results fell short of Wall
Street forecasts as the company shifted to a flat fee for online
trading in response to fierce price competition.

The stock -- which more than sextupled in the last five
years, outstripping the market and full service rivals -- fell 13
percent this year, mirroring the dive in other online brokers,
such as E*Trade Group Inc. and Ameritrade Holding Corp. Shares of
full service brokers surged this year.

It's ''the double-edged sword of the Internet,'' said John
Keefe, an independent securities analyst. ''It allows everybody
to come and compete'' on price. That means lower fees from
customer trades.''

Palo Alto, California-based E*Trade has fallen 6 percent
this year, while Ameritrade shares plunged 14 percent.
''Price competition fears dominate investors as far as
online brokers are concerned,'' said Piper Jaffray Inc. analyst
Bill Burnham. ''The low price companies are taking (market) share
from the higher priced companies. Firms like Datek Securities and
SureTrade, which offer trades for $10 or less, have seen strong
growth recently.''

Even Merrill Lynch

Even some big full service brokerages, such as Merrill Lynch
& Co., are preparing to offer online trading to keep their
customers happy.

Commission revenue at Schwab rose just 8.3 percent, even
while the average number of trades per day surged 25 percent.
That's because the average commission per trade fell 13 percent
to $56.88. The decline came as online trades increased to about
half of all trades, up from about a third a year ago.

In January, Schwab began offering a flat fee of $29.95 for
any online trade, to compete with Internet brokers and shift more
of its business onto the Internet. Before that, Schwab customers
who didn't have electronic accounts got a 20 percent discount off
the regular $55 rate for trading 100 shares if they traded over
the company's Web site.

Also weighing on the stock is investor concern that Schwab
may lower its prices again, Burnham said.

Investors shunned E*Trade last week, as its shares fell 13
percent the day after it reported earnings. Investors became
nervous as E*Trade's marketing expenses soared and new account
growth slowed.

Ends Well

In Schwab's case, patience may pay off, some investors say.
''Clearly the earnings were disappointing, but we think this
(shift) will benefit Schwab'' in the long run, said Morty Schaja,
a money manager at Baron Asset Management in New York, which owns
about 9.4 million Schwab shares. ''We've been in the market
buying all day long,'' he said.

Investors and analysts point to Schwab's new account growth.
Schwab added 358,100 new accounts in the first three months of
1998. That's 22 percent more than it added in the second best
quarter in the past two years.
''No one else has been able to get that kind of account
growth,'' said Laurian Lytle, an analyst for Milwaukee-based
Firstar Investment Research & Management Co., which owned about
3.2 million shares at the end of December.

The growth helped attract $20.8 billion of new assets in the
quarter.
''Schwab in the end will be the king of the Internet,'' said
CIBC Oppenheimer anlayst Steven Eisman. ''But the margin pressure
will continue for about a year or so.''
--Monique Wise in the New York newsroom (212) 318-2608 /cws



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To: grogger who wrote (2817)4/21/1998 3:18:00 AM
From: David S.  Respond to of 13953
 
Hey, I am just waiting to see if it goes below $21. Like they say, buy low .... sell high. Even though I like the recent foreign deals they have made, I am waiting to see if the revenue from those is going to be counteracted by the cheap-priced competition that has popped up everywhere. Even eschwab is stream lining their electronic trade, so that they can lower their price.



To: grogger who wrote (2817)4/21/1998 3:22:00 AM
From: David S.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13953
 
Hey, I am just waiting to see if it goes below $21. Like they say, buy low .... sell high. Even though I like the recent foreign deals they have made, I am waiting to see if the revenue from those is going to be counteracted by the cheap-priced competition that has popped up everywhere. Even eschwab is stream lining their electronic trade, so that they can lower their price.