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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Barbara Barry who wrote (16623)	4/16/1998 9:00:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Barbara, I agree with you that we are in stagnation. Real interest rates are high and therefore the Fed is not raising rates. The market interpretation is wrong, earnings growth almost evaporated as has productivity gains. Grains are in a long basing phase and the stabilization of SE ASia will bring back demand for food - e.g. grains will raise starting INFLATION from today's low levels. Same for oil and other commodities. See CBOT weekly charts As to the market be nimble we are in a blow-off/mania situation which will stop very unexpected. My personal hope that it will get me in cash and not long as there will be no way of exiting without a loss. As to the general approach?? well I will try to restrain my trading desire <ggg> as it is getting to be to risky. Aside my best signal is wen I am so confident that I am right - I stop trading. Writing on this board how "right I am" <gg> cost no money <ggg> but trading thinking you are right and proven wrong is quite painfull. Just keep in mind cash returns are 4.5% and SAFE!! 4.5% in the stock market is DOW 9600 to 9700 so why take the risk. Shorting oh well that is another story. BWDIK Haim