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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (16690)4/16/1998 5:23:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Less than one month away from the BK?
What if like in 1929 the economy first
turns sour...and then the market finally
capitulates--quite a few months after
the recession has begun. Of course if
the economy does not sour for several
years, the market could continue up to
a PE of 30 and then just turn very volatile.
Good trading tho.

It took me a couple grand to finally learn
my lesson, valuation means nothing in a
market like this. It is silly to say some-
thing is overvalued and rush out for some
puts. That's why I mentioned Amazon--sure
it is waay overvalued, but it could also
lose market share fast to Barnes and Nobel
etc. Sure these internet stocks will die
someday, but you cant know when, in the
meantime, eee gads, how much money I could
have made if I had bot a few XCIT April 45
calls, rather than the crummy puts I got
awhile back...

I think Excite was up again today, yup
another ten percent. Madness.