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Gold/Mining/Energy : KERM'S KORNER -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (10192)4/17/1998 10:35:00 AM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15196
 
MARKET ACITIVITY/TRADING NOTES FOR DAY ENDING THURSDAY, APRIL 16, 1998 (4)

TOP STORIES Con't

PanCanadian Petroleum Lost Focus
Canadian Press

Making changes at PanCanadian Petroleum caused the company to lose focus, momentum and millions of dollars in profits, shareholders discovered at their annual meeting Thursday

Making changes at PanCanadian Petroleum caused the company to lose focus, momentum and millions of dollars in profits, shareholders discovered at their annual meeting Thursday. Despite a $450-million jump in 1997 revenues, PanCanadian's profits fell by $16 million.

Restructuring of the company's heavy oil and gas operations was the culprit for the dip, said PanCanadian president David Tuer.

"Fundamental change has proven to be neither easy nor swift," Tuer said in the company's annual report.

"This task of organizing proved to be more far-reaching and time consuming than I had anticipated."

In June last year, PanCanadian made its largest-ever corporate acquistion when it purchased heavy oil specialist CS Resources Ltd. and folded its heavy oil assets into one business.

Also that month, the company launched its largest capital project with the announcement of the $1.1-billion Weyburn oilfield project in southeast Saskatchewan, which will add production of 120 million barrels over the next 25 years.

PanCanadian also took a beating because its 1997 operating cost per barrel in heavy oil was an "unimpressive" $10.02 per barrel, Tuer said, adding those operating costs have already decreased by 30 per cent this year.

"I think it was a very challenging year for PanCanadian," said energy analyst Craig Langpap of FirstEnergy Capital Corp."And 1998, in the oil-price environment we're in, it's not going to make it any easier."

PanCanadian, a branch of resources and transportation giant Canadian Pacific Ltd., is Canada's second biggest energy producer and a major supplier of conventional and heavy oil, natural gasand liquids.

Daily production of crude oil was also down in 1997, to 140,000 barrels from 146,000 barrels. The company said the decline was due to slumping oil prices, which started out last year at $26.62 US per barrel and plummeted to $17.60 by December.

PanCanadian was the first major energy company in Canada to respond to low oil prices, cutting 200 jobs and easing production of heavy oil last February.

Although the oil and gas powerhouse was busy making changes to accommodate growth, it still made a $330-million profit.

With natural gas prices hitting record highs, the company plans to pump out more gas this year - from 800 million cubic feet a day to 880 million cubic feet a day by the year's end

"They're going to be concentrating on their gas projects and it's not easy to switch from one focus to another," Langpap noted.

Asked about how the company is faring in its efforts to reduce greenhouse gas, Tuer said Canada's reduction target will cost all Canadians. To put it in perspective, Tuer said if all oil and gas wells in the country were shut down today, only half of Canada's targeted reductions would be achieved.

"I think that all Canadians would be feeling some real pain and the oil industry would be sharing it," he said. Canada's goal is to curtail the country's fossil fuel emissions by 25 per cent from current levels by 2010, with further reductions in the decades after that. PanCanadian will release 1998 first quarter results early next week.

PanCanadian Petroleum Expects To Post Small Quarterly Profit
The Finance Post

PanCanadian Petroleum Ltd. will post a small profit when it releases first quarter results next week, the Calgary-based company said yesterday.

Weak oil prices are forcing it to alter plans almost daily to ensure cash flow funds most of the "tenuous" 1998 capital budget of $960 million, president and chief executive David Tuer said after the company's annual meeting.

He declined to be specific about earnings, saying the figure will be at least eight digits. In the first quarter last year, PanCanadian had a profit of $135 million.

The company intends to drill 1,250 wells this year, most of them in Western Canada.

It will start a $15-million well, called Grande Pre, off the coast of Nova Scotia in the next few days. Three wells in the Gulf of Mexico, with depths ranging from 22,000 to 28,000 feet, will each rack up drilling costs of US$25 million to US$40 million.

Tuer told shareholders there is little the company can do about commodity price fluctuations.

"We are price takers in the world market. We will, however, continue to manage our costs and our spending."

A 10% staff reduction in February helped reduce first-quarter heavy oil operating costs by more than 30% from the $10.02 a barrel averaged in 1997, he said.

Heavy oil makes up most of the 6,000-barrels-a-day cut from production levels the company had forecast before oil prices started to slide.

Tuer said PanCanadian is aware of discussions about building another upgrader, which would refine heavy oil and increase its value, but the firm isn't leading the charge.

"I don't think that we're necessarily, or should be seen as, the leaders" of the producer-driven effort, he said.

For 1988, PanCanadian expects oil and gas liquids production to average 148,000 b/d and natural gas to come in at 800 million cubic feet a day. Volumes in 1997 averaged 140,000 b/d of oil and 744 million cubic feet a day of gas.

Numac Energy Inc. Looks For New Guidance At The Top
The Financial Post

Numac Energy Inc. is restructuring its executive suite and, with the departure of a senior vice-president, is looking for a president and chief executive.

Rich Couillard has resigned as senior vice-president of exploration and production, a post from which he directed Numac's increased activity in heavy oil, a sector hit by low oil prices over the past six months.

Stewart McGregor, chairman and chief executive, said the Calgary-based company went through an intensive review to assess strategies in light of changing prices for oil and gas.

"We think it was time for a change - new blood, new ideas - for our exploration program," he said.

Numac hasn't had a president since Irv Koop left about three years a go. To fill the position now, McGregor has indicated he is willing to relinquish his CEO role to help attract a strong candidate.

Numac's desire to recruit a new president should alleviate concerns that four Hong Kong based investors, who own more than 50% of the stock, are not committed to its success, McGregor said.

"I think the fact we're making these management changes suggests the Hong Kong investors do take a long-term view."

An upbeat Couillard, reached at his Calgary home, said he enjoyed his time at Numac. He said there were philosophical, operational and management differences, as there are at all companies, but there was not a single issue that caused his departure. "It's been positive. There's nothing nefarious here."

A 25-year veteran of the oilpatch, Couillard was recruited in 1994 from Chevron Canada Resources Ltd. He intends to take a breather before re-entering the business.

Some analysts said yesterday a revolving door at the top won't help Numac's battered stock.

"I don't see it going a lot lower, as it's already trading pretty cheaply," said Gord Currie, a Calgary based analyst with Canaccord Capital Corp. He doesn't think the stock will move much until the new executive begins to deliver on a new strategy.

A chance to turn around a company that's struggled to bring down its finding and development costs could be attractive to some candidates, he said.

Numac's strong asset base and technically proficient staff are positives, said Peter Linder of CIBC Wood Gundy Securities Inc. in Calgary. "Under the right captain, there is considerable upside on the stock."

He said Numac's intention to hire a top executive should take the firm off the list of rumored acquisitions.

Real Resources Inc. (RER/TSE) has entered into an agreement to acquire all of the shares of a private company which has interests varying between 50 to 100% on 20 sections of undeveloped land in the Burmis area located in southwest Alberta.

The lands are in an area of active industry drilling, targeting natural gas prospects in the Mississippian zone.

Lowell Jackson, President & C.E.O. of Real Resources Inc. said ''the acquisition adheres to our strategy of focusing the majority of our exploration thrust on longer life natural gas reserves''.

Total consideration for the acquisition is 1,100,000 common shares of Real.

Ridgeway Petroleum Corp. announced today the results of an economic analysis contained in an ongoing field development plan, a portion of which has been previously released. This analysis indicates that the first production phase of its ''Arizona-New Mexico CO(2)/Helium Project'' has a pre-tax net present value discounted at 10% of US$409.9 million over its 40 year life.

This estimate represents the results of seven sensitivities prepared by the consultants to determine the optimal production formula to maximize the rate of return for this phase. Other parameters in the estimate are summarized below:

Rate of production:
500 million cubic feet per day for 35 years and five additional years at an average of 386 million cubic feet per day.

Total gas produced:
7 trillion cubic feet (''TCF'') or approximately 51% of the estimated 13.86 TCF of gas in place in the East Field. The West Field is estimated to contain 7.51 TCF of gas in place.

Number of wells:
203 in the first three years; 1,195 over the 40 year period.

Capital cost:
To reach 500 million cubic feet per day within three years, US$159,600,000 which includes plant and compression facilities.

Gas price:
Confidential for competitive reasons but within current negotiation range.

Payout: Pre-tax 3.6 years

Rate of return: Pre-tax 50%

Net present value discounted at 10%: Pre-tax US$409,900,000.

The success of planned horizontal drilling could have a significant impact on the Project as a result of increased productivity.

This sensitivity is only one of a number of options the Company is considering as it continues to explore strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value.

Ridgeway Petroleum Corp., which has been exploring for oil and gas in North America since 1980, is on course, management believes, to potentially become one of North America's largest producers of carbon dioxide and helium.



To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (10192)4/17/1998 10:58:00 AM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
MARKET ACITIVITY/TRADING NOTES FOR DAY ENDING THURSDAY, APRIL 16, 1998 (5)

INTERNATIONAL

Cabre Exploration, Coplex Resources NL And Naftex Energy Combine Interests In Egypt

Cabre Exploration Ltd. (CBE/TSE), Coplex Resources NL and Naftex Energy Corporation (NFTX/CDN) announced a combining of their interests in the West Esh El Mallaha (WEEM) Concession.

WEEM is a 222,000 acre concession onshore Egypt on which three wells were drilled by Coplex and Cabre in 1997 within an area of 3-D seismic covering about 25,000 acres.

Coplex owns 55.51 percent of the 54,047,190 outstanding shares of Naftex. Naftex, through its wholly owned subsidiaries holds 50 percent of WEEM. Cabre, through its wholly owned subsidiary, holds the remaining 50 percent of WEEM. WEEM is Naftex' only oil and gas asset.

Naftex also has net working capital of approximately $C8 million. Cabre will assign its 50 percent of WEEM to Naftex and match Naftex' working capital after deducting Naftex' severance and other costs, and shall receive 54,047,190 treasury shares. Cabre shall then hold 50 percent of the issued shares of Naftex.

Naftex have outstanding employee stock options, some of which will survive the closing of the proposed transactions. Naftex also has 18,852,500 warrants outstanding of which 10,000,000 are issued to Coplex. Cabre will be issued a number of warrants equal to those stock options surviving the closing and an additional 10,000,000 warrants.

These 10,000,000 warrants to be issued to Cabre and those of Coplex will expire March 18, 2001 to be exercisable at $0.55 until June 18, 1998, $0.65 until March 18, 1999 and $0.75 thereafter.

Upon closing there will be a significant change in the management of Naftex involving the resignation of a majority of the existing directors, officers and operating staff. Cabre will nominate a majority of the members of the Naftex board and this board shall appoint new officers of the company.

Naftex shall also designate operating staff and four of the eight director positions to ESHPETCO, the joint company formed with the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (''EGPC'') to operate WEEM. EGPC have nominated four directors. Mr. Ramzy El Adl, the current President of Naftex, shall remain an ESHPETCO director.

Naftex will drill three firm and one contingent well on existing 3-D seismic in WEEM and conduct an additional 400 km of 2-D seismic and 200 Km2 of 3-D seismic. The seismic program has commenced with Western Geophysical. Several drilling proposals are being assessed from which one contractor will be selected.

Due to a continuing shortage of drill rigs in Egypt, the start of drilling cannot be stated with confidence; however verbal indications suggest drilling can start by June 1998. Each well requires about one month and will cost approximately $US1,000,000 to drill to 6500' sub surface.

The Rabeh-1 oil discovery of June 1997 started production on February 2, 1998 from three sets of perforations in the Miocene Nukhul formation. These perforations flowed 7,235 barrels of 29 degree API oil in total on initial tests with no water. A fourth zone in the Matulla, which tested at 1,570 B/D, is not being produced.

Unfortunately the well started to produce water almost immediately. The source of the water was subsequently determined to be the lowest of the three perforation sets. Two cement squeezes failed to correct the problem and since the squeezes the fluid rate declined to about 800 barrels per day, of which 450 barrels is oil.

Further remedial work is planned to correct what appears to be a poor cement job. For example, the nearby Wadi El Sahl field, is believed to be producing water-free oil from the Nukhul formation. Production from WEEM is currently trucked to tidewater. However, EGPC has advised that a 12'' crude oil pipeline will be built from the WEEM area to Zeit Bay, some 100 km to the north.

The transaction proposed herein is expected to close June 1 and no later than June 30, 1998, and is subject to due diligence reviews, regulatory and other necessary approvals.

The transaction will resolve operatorship issues, provide funding for the 1998 drilling and seismic program, avoid the need for inter-party agreements, reduce corporate overhead and align the shareholders' interests. The primary objective of Naftex will be to evaluate the potential of the WEEM Concession prior to the end of its exploration term ending July 17, 2000.

Deena Energy Commences Cambodia Offshore Drilling

Deena Energy Inc. through its subsidiary Deena Energy Cambodia Inc. is pleased to announce that drilling has commenced on the Koah Pring I well offshore Block IV Cambodia. The drill ship Energy Searcher will drill to approximately 3000 meters to evaluate Miocene and Oligocene aged sediments. Deena has a 10 percent working interest in Block IV which encompasses approximately 2800 square kilometers. Drilling and production testing is expected to take approximately 50 days.

Grande Portage Resources Provides Albania Update

Grande Portage Resources Ltd. (GPGVSE) previously announced on March 4th, 1998, that it had entered into a Heads of Agreement with SH.A. Albpetrol, the state owned oil and gas company of the Government of Albania, for the development of the Delvina gas project. This corporate update is intended to provide shareholders and investors with additional details about the Delvina project.

The Delvina Field consisting of gas and gas condensate was discovered by SH.A. Albpetrol in 1987 with limited production commencing in October of that year. Between 1987 and 1994, production from two wells totalled 1,744 MMSCF and 97,800 barrels of condensate. In 1996, Grande Portage retained an independent U.S. based consulting group, Poco Oil Co., to review the project and to make recommendations to the Company. Amongst other findings, the consulting group estimated the reserves at Delvina as follows:

Proven Natural gas MMSCF 158,174, Condensate Barrels - 8.8 million
Probable Natural gas MMSCF 77,737, Condensate Barrels - 4.3 million
Possible Natural gas MMSCF 164,135, Condensate Barrels - 9.2 million

These reserves were in close agreement to the reserves as determined in a 1993 technical study of the Delvina Field by a major U.S. based integrated oil and gas company.

Poco Oil Co. recommended the Company pursue the project as it represented a favorable and low risk petroleum development investment opportunity. They recommended a two-phased experimental program followed by a development program. The initial phase of the experimental program budgeted at US$3.25 million consists of side tracking two wells to a better structural location and then fracing these wells if necessary. Upon completion of the experimental phase, a decision to enter the second subphase or go directly to the development phase will be taken. The projected budget for experimental and production costs is US$30 million over a five year period. Approximately one-half of this requirement is expected to be available from ongoing cash flow from the Delvina project.

In anticipation of the Joint Operating Agreement being executed this summer, the Company is in the process of reviewing various financing options. In addition to its fiscal requirements, the Delvina project will require the expertise of an experienced management team. Towards this end, the Company is in discussion with industry partners to satisfy this requirement.

As stated in the March 4th, 1998 press release, the terms and conditions of the Joint Operating Agreement between the Company and SH.A. Albpetrol will define the fiscal regime under which operations at Delvina will be conducted. Upon execution of the Joint Operating Agreement, the Company has agreed to issue to Anglo Adriatic Group a finders fee in the form of 1.5 million common shares of the Company. The issuance of these shares is subject to regulatory approval.

Ecuador Says Oil Exports Not Hit By Protests

Ecuador state oil company Petroecuador said Wednesday that exports will not be affected by a takeover of several fields by protesters.

''Crude exports have not been affected because we have oil stored in our terminals,'' a Petroecuador spokesman told Reuters.

Police said two protesters have died and two security officials have been wounded since farmers, local citizens and some oil field workers took over several of the 42 Amazonian oilfields Petroecuador operates Tuesday.

The protests were staged by workers of companies that provide services to state oil company Petroecuador and rural workers and indigeneous groups angry at attempts to privatize their social welfare programs.

The immediate impact of the uprising was a production loss of 32,000 barrels according to Petroproduccion, an affiliate of Petroecuador.

''The problem remains critical, but we have compensated for the (oil production) losses,'' the spokesman said.

The important Sacha and Aucas Norte deposits are being guarded by the military to stop any takeover attempts, the spokesman said.

Petroecuador accounts for 80 percent of Ecuador's 390,000 barrel per day oil production. The country, which is the sixth largest producer and fourth largest exporter of oil in Latin American, relies on oil revenues to bankroll nearly 50 percent of its budget.

Colombian Oil Faces Pre-Poll Attacks

Colombia's oil industry may see an upsurge in rebel attacks in the lead-up to next month's presidential elections but the sector will not become a ''Dante's Inferno'', the head of the state run oil company said.

But, in an interview with Reuters late Wednesday, Ecopetrol chairman Enrique Amorocho said it was not yet clear what the longer term implications would be of the recent death of a top guerrilla leader, who had been fiercely opposed to foreign involvement in the domestic oil business.

He was optimistic, however, that a package of 36 new oil contracts being offered to private-sector companies under improved terms would boost the industry and safeguard Colombia's self-sufficiency in oil.

''We're in a pre-electoral period and it's been traditional for the guerrillas (to launch attacks at such times),'' Amorocho said, referring to the first round of the presidential poll set for May 31.

''With a new government also in prospect the guerrillas are probably looking to build up positions,'' he added.

Amorocho was speaking to Reuters just after giving a press presentation about the package of new contracts, comprising total potential reserves of as much as 9.3 billion barrels of crude equivalent, now being put on offer.

Hours earlier, the Cuban-inspired National Liberation Army (ELN) had bombed the Cano Limon-Covenas pipeline, the country's second largest, for the 15th time this year.

The ELN specializes in attacks on the country's oil infrastructure arguing that foreign multinationals have an excessive stake in the industry.

In addition to the pipeline attacks, suspected ELN rebels have bombed British Petroleum Co Plc (UK & Ireland: BP.L) facilities in the 300,000 barrel per day (bpd) Cusiana-Cupiagua oil complex in eastern Colombia twice in less than three weeks.

The incidents have forced BP to shut down three exploratory wells and shut in 75,000 bpd of production. It has also heightened security fears in an industry already reeling from a rising tide of rebel threats.

''I don't want to underestimate the impact (of the public order situation)...but we're making an effort to offer the best global (contract) conditions,'' Amorocho said.

''This isn't paradise on earth but its not Dante's Inferno either,'' he added.

Last year the ELN blasted the Cano Limon pipeline, which serves Occidental Petroleum Corp's (OXY) 170,000 bpd field in northeast Arauca province, a record 65 times. But this year attacks have been more sporadic -- the last one prior to Wednesday's explosion was on March 14.

Some defense experts suggested the downturn in attacks was due to the fact that the ELN was restructuring its leadership after its long-time chieftain, Spanish born rebel priest Manuel Perez, died of hepatitis in mid-February.

The new leader, Nicolas Rodriguez, is said to be a military hardliner. Analysts have also suggested the ELN's radical Domingo Lain division -- the one that heads the anti-oil campaign -- could shun all internal restraints and launch an all-out offensive on the oil industry.

Amorocho, however, declined to speculate on the impact of Perez's death on the ELN's ''oil policy''.

''All Colombians are hoping for peace and that includes everybody at Ecopetrol,'' he said. ''But I try to focus more on the technical aspects of the oil industry rather than get involved in the concepts and possibilities of the ELN.''

New Style Colombian Oil Deals Up For Grabs

Colombia's state-run oil company this week put 36 new oil contracts up for grabs, hoping to attract as much as $563 million new risk investment and ensure the country's long-term self sufficiency in oil.

Ecopetrol chiefs estimated the total potential reserves in the 36 areas on offer in a two-phase bidding process at between 5 billion and 9.3 billion barrels.

This Andean nation's total potential hydrocarbon reserves are estimated to be about 37 billion barrels of crude equivalent -- much of that in hitherto unexplored areas.

''There's something for all tastes here. Something of every flavor,'' an upbeat Ecopetrol chairman Enrique Amorocho said at a press presentation late Wednesday.

''Companies will be able to bid for the contract that suits them most. There are 36 contracts on offer that cover different activities and different levels of risks,'' he added.

Ecopetrol officials are explaining this week the new contracts and new bidding system to oil industry executives in Houston and Calgary as well as representatives of those oil companies already operating in Colombia.

The contracts are the first to be put up for ''auction'' -- rather than negotiated on a one-to-one basis with private sector associates.

A first tranche of seventeen contracts, covering exploration in both inactive and active areas as well as contracts for incremental production in already productive areas, is due to be awarded in late July.

The second slice of 19 contracts is scheduled to be allocated in early October.

The new ''auction'' system, part of an enhanced contracts package first announced last October, will see private sector companies not placing cash offers but instead making bids on the basis of what share of production they will offer to Ecopetrol from any given field.

In the case of contracts in active areas or incremental fields, the bidder must offer Ecopetrol a share of output greater than that set out in the present system of fixed-term contracts, starting about 50 percent.

In the case of hitherto inactive areas, the bidder will be able to offer Ecopetrol as little as a 25 percent cut of production.

Ecopetrol came up with the idea of bidding for contracts as a way of stimulating investment in Colombia's oil industry -- currently suffering from low exploration levels.

The state oil company currently has 104 active association contracts with foreign and domestic private sector partners, the highest level this decade.

But just 28 new test wells were sunk nationwide last year, according to Ecopetrol figures, the third lowest level since at least 1990.

Foreign oil companies have frequently complained that Colombian terms for oil exploration and production are not internationally competitive.

Added to that is the growing threat posed by the country's two highly active Marxist guerrilla groups against oil infrastructure and the employees of multinational companies.

Ecopetrol estimates just 10 percent of the country's potential oil bearing formations have been throughly explored. It has also forecast that if no major new oil find is made before the year 2000, Colombia could become a net importer of oil by around 2005.

But Ismael Arenas, Ecopetrol's vice-chairman (operations), believes the new contracts on offer will provide a much needed shot in the arm for the Colombian oil sector -- the country's biggest export earner.

''There are now greater incentives for companies to get involved. Before we were just offering one type of contract for all types of area,'' he said.

Arenas, however, declined to say what the implications of the new contracts on Colombia's oil self-sufficiency would be.

''Many of these are exploratory contracts and as such are subject to great risk. There's no possibility that the total potential reserves will actually be discovered. We're talking about wells that have a success rate of between 15 and 25 percent,'' Arenas said.

Iraq Needs Oil Pipeline Parts

A team of experts sent to examine Iraq's oil infrastructure says it badly needs repairs and the upgrading of production and transmission equipment.

Industry experts visited Iraq last month and were accompanied by two U.N. overseers.

The U.N. experts even said in the report issued by Secretary-General Kofi Annan today the ''Iraqi oil industry is really in desperate need for spare parts'' if it is to increase oil output from $2.2 billion every six months to $5 billion.

The Security Council approved the increase earlier this year to allow Baghdad to obtain more funds for the oil-for-food program. The scheme lets Iraq sell oil and buy humanitarian needs with the funds.

The Iraqi request to buy $300 million in spare parts ''is reasonable and...reflects only the most essential and urgent needs of the Iraqi oil industry,'' said the report to the Council.

Oil experts said, ''Without rapid and adequate investment in spare parts and repair of the production wells plus the development of smaller fields, the gap between the existing decline curve and the projected increment in crude oil production will grow wider for each month that financing is delayed.''

Their report said Iraq's oil industry ''has the expertise and technical knowledge to gradually increase production over the next 18 months.''

The experts concluded that it would be unlikely $5.2 billion in oil sales during the six-month period could be reached. It also noted the dropping price in oil.

They said the ''oil industry of Iraq is in a lamentable state.''