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Technology Stocks : Creative Labs (CREAF) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Haugland who wrote (10893)4/17/1998 6:23:00 PM
From: Richard Haugland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13925
 
My guess: eps 55 cents, revenues 300.8 million, closing price $22.875.



To: Richard Haugland who wrote (10893)4/20/1998 6:34:00 PM
From: jgideon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13925
 
Can't understand First Call consensus of only $0.48 ...

-- CREAF has had a profit margin around 19% of late
(after removing special charges and gains)

-- Voodoo II was brilliantly executed and should help
revenues vs last year (made $282.8 M in Q3 97)

??? to get 0.48 in EPS with 19% margin, need revenues to
go down to only $243 million (96 M shares assumed)

??? to get 0.48 in EPS with $300 M revenues, need the
profit margin to drop to 15%

===> both these scenarios seem unplausible, given the
recent history of the company and the anecdotal
product sales information

My guesses:

$295 M in revenues
0.55 EPS (assumes 18% profit margin)

As for the price before earnings, it's anyone's guess,
but I'll opt for Wall Street continuing to be clueless:

23 1/8 close on 4/28

The more important number is the close on 4/29 or 4/30.

jg