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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15469)4/19/1998 9:38:00 PM
From: Bearded One  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
A question about these "postal accounts" in which the Japanese have all this money stocked away...

Since money like that is nothing more than numbers in a computer, isn't the effect of "opening up" these accounts the same as just printing a whole bunch of Yen and giving it to Japanese citizens?

If the Japanese were going to increase liquidity, why would they do it this way?

Thanks.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15469)4/19/1998 9:53:00 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Interesting thought on the banks.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15469)4/20/1998 5:44:00 AM
From: John Hunt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Japan price data points toward deflationary spiral

biz.yahoo.com

<< Finally, things are moving in Japan's economy. Unfortunately, they're going in the wrong direction.

The Bank of Japan released clear evidence of that on Monday when it reported that deflation, the phenomenon of falling prices that erodes corporate profitability, is spreading through the world's second-largest economy.

The domestic wholesale price index for the first 10 days of April showed prices falling 2.1 percent from the same period a year earlier. Import prices, which fell in yen terms as the currencies of Asia plunged in the wake of a regional economic crisis, collapsed a jaw-dropping 7.4 percent.

''Japan is teetering on the verge of a deflationary spiral,'' said Andrew Shipley, economist at Schroder Securities Japan Ltd, referring to an uncontrolled fall in prices that destabilises the economy. >>

Zeev,

I have also seen the bank mergers as a sign of possible weakness. I believe that I have seen some references to JPM's Asia exposure being larger than reported. I will try to find a link if I can.

John




To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15469)4/20/1998 9:25:00 AM
From: Mike M2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Zeev, you make a good point with respect to the possibility that banks have been hurt by SEA to a greater extent than they have let on. I think this is the case. Is the damage significant enough to compel mergers? I don't know but it is an interesting thought. Citibank has a history of getting itself into trouble. Mike



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15469)4/25/1998 6:22:00 AM
From: John Hunt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
<< I think we will need to see the Nikkei under 15,000 and the Korean market under 410 or so before the SEA malaise returns to these shores. >>

Zeev,

Getting closer. Better get the turnips out of the cold cellar and start warming them up.

Korea closed at 411.63 in Saturday trading.

< G >

John