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Gold/Mining/Energy : PYNG Technologies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PeterS who wrote (2071)4/21/1998 8:47:00 PM
From: Rick Thomas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8117
 
Test of the $4.80 to $5.00 range is coming. Not likely to penetrate this range without news or a significant increase in volume.A retest of support in the $4.00 range is likely. Pyng is still very oversold short term.WE MAY HAVE ESTABLISHED A SHORT TERM TRADING RANGE between $4.00 and 4.80. Should we close below $4.00 , we are most likely to test support in the $3.00 range.



To: PeterS who wrote (2071)4/21/1998 9:10:00 PM
From: Ward Nicholson  Respond to of 8117
 
Peter:

I wrote $ (dollar sign - the part you missed)1 million/day. It
means, as you as a technician sure know, volume times price. In other
words $1 mil/day means 1 million of $1 shares per day or 250K of $4
(PYT) shares per day. Your note about the non-volume-based indicators
does not really make any point. All I'm saying you need a real crowd
to meaningfully apply TA. But I'd be truly interested to know what
indicators you were able to successfully apply to PYT.


Does not really make any point? I don't understand your logic here.
$Volume (volume * price) will vary with volume. Indicators that do
not use volume as a factor will not vary with volume, e.g. MACD, RSI,
EMA, etc. Situations in which there is a concern about a lack of
average daily volume (or lack of "a real crowd" as you have coined it)
generating misleading signals are generally best studied with non-
volume-based indicators. As the situation would have it, I haven't
used any volume-based indicators with PYT to the extent that I used
non-volume based indicators. I mentioned in a previous post that
PYT's relative strength "sucked". I meant it. The RSI indicator is
tracing a bearish divergence with the price action. The fall from
$5, as an event, had a higher probability of occurring than any
other sceneario.

> ... indicators available to TA players (which you'll find more
> of in Canada because of the lack of volume relative to US markets).

Where did you get this impression? The only published reference to
this regard I know of is the exact and overwhelming opposite. My
source is Investors Digest and articles by Roman Franko (editor of
TA of Canadian Stocks). I am sure I can find the exact references.


Hmmm. Sorry. That came out wrong. I guess my fingers couldn't keep
up. Allow me to clarify. I meant to say that if you compared a
Canadian TA player versus an American TA player, you would find that
the Canadian TA player will use more non-volume based indicators
simply because of the relative lack of volume in our markets. I
didn't mean to say that there are more TA players up here. I'm sure
that Franko is correct and I agree (BTW, let me just say that Roman
Franko is one analyst whose work I highly respect. His write-up on
BXM in Jan/1997 was one I'll never forget.)

Your encouragement to look at 1996. Well, my friend (sorry, I
could not resist), are you saying that the company affairs were comparable?


Not at all. I was referring strictly to PYT's chart formation. I
have no idea where PYT was at in 1996 fundamentally speaking. You
are arguing from a fundamental point of view, whereas my stance is
technical. We're speaking two different languages here Peter.

At that time it was a promotion in combination with peaking of
VSE market. There is hundreds of VSE stocks with similar pattern
(often never lived up to since)as VSE was really going at that time.
That is until the summer when the market turned south - big time.


If you're saying that in 1996 PYT went up because it was being
promoted, what can I say except that promotion is a fundamental
event, something that I really can't speak to. The reason it went
up couldn't be less important to me -- it acted the way it acted.
I'm not sure about you're second point here. If you are arguing
that there is a strong positive correlation between PYT's chart
and the VSE Index, you couldn't be more wrong. I maintain that
the similarity of the chart formations of PYT (1996 & 1998)
deserves some attention, if only because history repeats itself
on the VSE more often than people like to remember.

I missed the 1997 FDA spike, because I was on a two week vacation
- that is how long it lasted and you literally had hours to get on
the bandwagon. Apply TA to that. Perhaps you are looking at the
patterns and not the indicators (somebody was posting about
head&shoulder) - if you have spikes, you, almost as a rule, have
some kind of head&shoulders. Pennants and similar features, it is my
understanding, are good for stocks in a trading range (as oppose to
trending range). What escapes me is how one could apply patterns on
an essentially flat line with little undulation.


You're right. There wouldn't have been many traders holding PYT
at that time for technical reasons, or for its chart formation.
Just fundamental players. I'll tell you this though...PYT was
a good technical short after it spiked.

As a conclusion, I like TA, I just do not think it is appropriate
here...


What can I say, except that there a variety of indicators that
are available to the technician. A successful one will find or
create the right indicators, or just not trade the stock at all.
I've found success in using non-volume based indicators to look
at PYT.

If it ain't broke...

WN