To: The Perfect Hedge who wrote (19863 ) 4/21/1998 3:28:00 PM From: Czechsinthemail Respond to of 95453
Oil Higher As Cheap Prices Stoke Demand LONDON, April 20 - Petroleum prices tiptoed higher on Monday as traders read oil market tea-leaves for signs that prices are on the upturn. Benchmark Brent blend for June loading closed just four cents higher at $14.40 a barrel on the London futures exchange, well off an intra-day high of $14.59. So far this year, Brent has run $5 a barrel lower than the average of $19.80 over the past two years, keeping the pressure on producers to stick by pledged output cuts which came into effect on April 1. Scepticism among oil traders that Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries producers, committed to 1.25 million barrels a day (bpd) of reductions, will do as they say has held back a market buoyed by a raft of supporting factors. ''I get the impression that this market is beginning to strain at the leash, but OPEC behaviour is difficult to calculate,'' said a trader in London. Market analysts say a surge of demand when oil prices hit a nine-year low has helped raise refinery profit margins in Western markets. Statistics released last week also showed that Germany rushed to buy cheap heating oil in March when prices dipped. The big jump in demand from Europe's largest petroleum importer helps to explain why primary oil stocks in industrialised nations have fallen when global oil demand is running well below supply levels. Low oil prices in March also pushed up demand for petroleum products in the United States. The U.S. Department of Energy said this week that March petroleum consumption in the world's biggest oil importer went up 3.8 percent on the year. The upshot, said analysts, was that the global stockbuild was not as large as expected earlier this year. Germany last week surprised with a tender to buy 22 million barrels of North Sea crude over the next six months. NYMEX Crude, Products End Lower In Range-Bound Day NEW YORK, April 20 - NYMEX crude and refined product futures fell in thin, range bound trading Monday, ahead of the May contract's expiration on Tuesday. ''It was all quiet with very little movement up or down,'' said a NYMEX floor trader, adding traders sidestepped fresh news about Iraq, which last week demanded the lifting of U.N. sanctions. NYMEX May crude, which expires tomorrow, settled at $15.41 a barrel, off 5 cents. It broke above $15.50 early and hit a high of $15.59, but slipped in lackluster trading, reaching a low of $15.37. May heating oil settled at 43.67 cents a gallon, down 0.90 cent. May gasoline closed at 52.42 cents a gallon, down 0.60 cent. Concerns about U.S. refinery glitches, which lifted gasoline and the market last week, continue, a trader said, as there was still uncertainty over when some of the units affected will be restarted. In any case, gasoline traded sideways. One trader said gasoline was ''maybe overdone'' last week and was due for a slight correction. In London, IPE Brent crude slipped into negative territory by late trade on Monday before closing a touch higher as traders shrugged off bearish and bullish news about Iraq. IPE June Brent closed four cents up at $14.40 a barrel, close to the day's $14.35 low. The United States on Monday accused Iraq of failing to cooperate with U.N. weapons inspectors despite an agreement with the U.N. that defused threats of a U.S. military attack. This means the time was ''far away'' when the U.N. sanctions on Iraq could be lifted, said U.S. State Department spokesman James Rubin. Last week, U.N. weapons inspectors reported having made virtually no progress over the past six months in verifying that Iraq had destroyed any remaining weapons of mass destruction after the Gulf war, a key condition for lifting sanctions. Meanwhile, Iraq's foreign minister said in New York on Monday that a distribution plan for aid in the U.N./Iraq oil-for-food deal will be submitted to U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan in about 10 days. Annan's approval of the distribution plan will trigger a 18-day period in which Iraq's oil exports will be increased by about 50 percent. Currently, Iraq can sell up to $2 billion in oil every six months. The U.N. has approved increasing exports to $5.2 billion every six months, but Iraq has said it can not reached that ceiling. It previously said it could only export up to $4 billion because of its damaged oil infrastructure. Annan, in a report last week proposing that $300 million be used to repair Iraq's oil facilities, said Iran can only export $3 billion worth of oil in any given six month in 1998 even if emergency repairs were undertaken. Funds for the repairs are being considered this week by the Security Council and its adjunct, the Iraq sanctions committee. exchange2000.com