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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (236)4/22/1998 9:50:00 AM
From: Reginald Middleton  Respond to of 1722
 
Let's look at this from the other side of the fence. MSFT sinks significant money into investments to hide cash from taxes in the form of R&D, Marketing, Acquisistions, etc. This serves to reduce net cash flow if the cash flows are not calculated from properly reconciled net income.

MSFT's investments are also several times more profitable than IBM's. For instance, look at the investment in Win 95, Win NT, and Office development and marketing. Compare this to IBM's investment in Lotus Development and the consistent tax free dividends (share buybacks). Which has produced more value? The difference is significant. A major reason IBM purcahses so many shares is becasue they can not find any investments that can clear thier cost of capital requirement in order to create value. When in doubt, you can always make an investment at or near the cost of capital, the repurchasing of your equity and refinancing of your debt. The problem is thier is but so much capital to repurchase, and the environment is growing like a weed. This money should go into active investments like performed by MSFT and Dell Computer, two direct competitors of IBM in the same industries as IBM.



To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (236)4/22/1998 10:18:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1722
 
Stock Options

Reynolds,

I thought you would like the IBM part. The reason I posted the article was that I thought that the fact that stock options are being discussed in more mainstream publications was significant. Maybe there will be a change perception.

There was another article on the subject in the NY Times today.

The best one was in this week's Economist. Smithers & Co. did a study on the largest 100 companies in the U.S. Their conclusion....take a deep breath and sit down!!!

Earnings were overstated by 42% in 1995
Earnings were overstated by 57% in 1996
Annual growth in income may be 2%-3% higher than the Fed thinks.

I almost dropped. I tend to stay away from techs so my perception was that 10%-15% was about right for most companies (an average). I have seen examples in tech of 30% and a little more. Those numbers if accurate are more staggering than I imagined and have serious implications. I knew for a while it was a serious and growing issue, but holy shit!

The report is not available to the public for free. I have already looked for it. It is for sale though. I put in a request for info. If it is reasonably priced, I will get it and report to the group. The study seems so far above even my thoughts, I want to see how they did it so I can come to my own conclusions about the methodology. I believe the company is generally bearish (on the U.S.) I am always suspicious of Investment House analysis due to the vested interest.



To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (236)4/24/1998 7:56:00 PM
From: porcupine --''''>  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
 
IBM will announce it is teaming with INTEL CORP.

* In a new move aimed at jump-starting demand for its fledgling
network computer business, IBM will announce it is teaming with
INTEL CORP, the chip giant and personal computer standard-bearer,
on future products in the area. Under the partnership, the
companies will work to optimize Java OS for Business -- a network
computer operating system that IBM is co-developing with SUN
MICROSYSTEMS INC -- to run on Intel processors. International
Business Machines Corp. also said it would build Intel processors
into future versions of its Network Station line of network
computers. (Reuters 01:59 AM ET 04/23/98) For the full text story,
see
infobeat.com