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To: John Melillo who wrote (5767)	4/22/1998 10:57:00 AM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10786

Re: What ALYD must earn to hit FYE '98 revenues of $75M Note: these numbers are based on Q4 revenues of $6.17M Method 1: Accelerated growth 42% 48% 54% 60% 8.76 12.97 19.97 31.95 73.65 Method 2: Even growth 50% 50% 50% 50% 9.26 13.88 20.82 31.24 75.20 Average 9.01 13.42 20.40 31.59 74.42 Conclusion: For ALYD to be considered "on-target" to achieve FYE '98 revenues of $75M, they must show between $8.76M and $9.26M for Q1. Although I'd love to see even better numbers, I'm not setting my sights any higher. Heck, many other Y2K companies have declining revenues! - Jeff