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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15528)4/23/1998 12:32:00 AM
From: ET  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
z head..are you still BEARISH??? boy, did you miss the move....
....don't forget to tell me when your bullish.....that's when i'm selling....
...sure glad you stopped posting your negative slanted comments on the threads i post on...i was starting to feel bad for you....



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15528)4/23/1998 12:42:00 AM
From: Richard Nehrboss  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Zeev,

I wanted to tell you and the other posters to this thread that I truly enjoy reading your interesting perspectives.

You've pointed out something that I had not considered: the impact of company stock buybacks compensating for low yields. Can you expound, share some numbers, sources, etc.

I'm trying to determine how much I should be hedged. I feel we are high.. PE ratios etc. Then again with my alternative being long bonds at 6-7% (a forward PE ratio of about 16) a PE in low 20's for something that will yield sig. higher ROE doesn't seem that bad. What are your thoughts on this?

Where were some of Japans ratios in 89?

Thanks again for your thoughts and information.

Richard



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (15528)4/23/1998 8:30:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Respond to of 18056
 
Zeev and thread:
I've slowly come around to the belief that
that there is indeed some inflation kicking
in, due to wage inflation due to tight labor
markets, and easy money, which is being made
in the markets and in real estate.

The fed measures inflation based on food and
energy items, there is no inflation there
however, but so what? The fed raises rates
to clamp down on easy money and cool stocks:
And this does several things--helps out oldsters
by lifting rates on their fixed incomes (tho
maybe I am wrongly assuming they are in
treasuries, maybe Grandma owns Dell Computer
ha ha), and takes the top of a market that
has them worried.

Plus, think of all the extra cap gains the
IRS can get if they can increase the churning,
get folks to sell and buy back on the dip,
perfect.

Finally, the gold bug thread has really lit
up (why I even have a gold stock now!)...is
that a sign? Maybe a contrary indicator, but
I think the gold bugs sound more rational
lately.