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To: Adam Nash who wrote (18981)4/23/1998 2:59:00 PM
From: Teri Skogerboe  Respond to of 70976
 
Taiwan Semicon <2330.TW> wary on '98 outlook

TAIPEI, April 23 (Reuters) - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co
followed up Thursday's announcement of strong first-quarter earnings
with a cautious outlook for the second quarter and the rest of 1998.

"We expect to see a declining trend in the second quarter from the first quarter," Huang Yen-chun, spokesman for Taiwan's leading semiconductor manufacturer, told Taiwan securities analysts at a seminar after the earnings announcement.

Chief financial officer Harvey Chang suggested that some of the more
optimistic growth forecasts for the industry would not be achieved,
though the company is adding production capacity to meet with any demand scenario.

"Many people had expected 18 to 20 percent growth for the entire
semiconductor industry," he said.

"The second quarter does not look good and we are cautious in our
outlook for the rest of the year. Growth of the semiconductor industry
might not be as good as most people had expected," he said.

Chang declined to make any specific forecasts for Taiwan Semiconductor's 1998 performance.

"Although many industrial experts are forecasting healthy growth in
second half (of 1998), we don't see that trend right now. But we think
it's a possible scenario," he said.

Taiwan Semiconductor said in February it expected global demand for its main products -- custom-made "foundry" microchips -- to grow 23 percent in 1998 to US$8 billion. Taiwan Semicon is the world leader in such semiconductors.

The company in February had forecast overall global demand for
microchips to rise 10 percent in 1998, with most of the growth coming in the second half.

The main drags on growth, it said, were Asia's currency turmoil and
sluggishness in Japan's economy, both of which were slowing regional
demand.

Taiwan Semicon nonetheless was boosting its production capacity in 1998 by 40 percent to 1.67 million 8-inch wafer equivalents, it said in February.

03:50 04-23-98
Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved.
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To: Adam Nash who wrote (18981)4/23/1998 8:25:00 PM
From: kenya  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Good post/insights. AMAT and many techs are ahead of themselves. Everyone is looking 3-4 quarters down the road, ignoring further Asia impacts, likely Fed tightening, and likely corporate tightening. I'm starting to see this almost universal belief that stocks won't/can't go down and must get in to not miss out. I think a correction that sticks is in the offing soon.