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To: nommedeguerre who wrote (18726)4/24/1998 12:46:00 AM
From: Eugene Goodman  Respond to of 24154
 
The breakup of Standard Oil and ATT

This is the history as I remember it:

Before mid 1800's the fuel of choice was defacated whale oil
with a cost of maybe 50 to $ 100/ bbl. Commercial wells were
drilled in and around Penn. in the 1860 and the price of oil
[mostly for lighting] dropped. SOC was formed and by
controlling transportation bought nearly all fo the small
oil companies in Ohio, WV and Penn and the price of oil
dropped. Oil was found on the Gulf Coast near Port Arthur
a d the price of oil dropped. At this point SOC was too big.
It was a rival of the government and had to be cut down to
size. Welcome anti-trust. Good thing, too because new markets
were developed for oil. Cars, trucks, heating, power generation
so demand for oil increased so that it eventually balanced out
the supply. I believe that the key factor in the breakup of
SOC was power.

ATT is more recent and more simple. ATT and the RBOC were all
joined at the hip with interlocking cross subsidies. The cost
of long distance calls were high to provide very high payments
to the RBOC's The RBOC were natural monopolies and because of
this were regulated by the states. The subsidies were justified
by the cost to the RBOC's of universal access. MCI filed suit
which resulted in the breakup.

And look at what happened.

The unregulated part, long distance, I believe has: lower prices,
better technology, better service, much higher call volume,higher profits to the companies. The regulated RBOC from my perspective,
well the service is dismal and getting worse, the cost is higher
and the RBOC have made little or no contribution to better
technology. The RBOC spend all of their energies fighting to
keep out competition.

I do not think that you can predict the consequences of splitting
up MSFT. I can get shareware OS and applications but I don't.

Gene